url: www.arthurhu.com/index/avote.htm created mid-90s update: 11/5/2010

Summary:

contents

RATES: ASIANS LOWEST, BLACKS NEAR WHITE, GAYS AND JEWS HIGHEST

(Update: this was mostly created in the mid 1990s, but mostly still true in the 2000s)

Common wisdom is that the low black voting rate is a huge problem. Actually, the black rate is only slightly below the white rate, it's the Asian and Hispanic rates that are really low where they are dominant in the population. Asians vote at the lowest rates of any race nationally, just ahead of Hispanics in CA, probably because Asians have the lowest rate of citizenship, a basic voting qualification. However the rate of Hispanics and Asians is comparable to that of Blacks when citizenship is taken into account. Born-again Christians also appear to have lower voter rate than blacks. Jews and gays appear to have the highest voting rates, typically near unity as a percent of group and double their population as percentage of all voters, though this is rarely documented.

ASIAN / HISPANIC areas are dominated by other minorities

Areas that are predominantly Hispanic and Asian who vote at low rates can still be dominated by a relatively small black or even gay population such as in SF. Gays and Jews vote at a close to 100% rate, if you take into account their votes are at about double their population when about half the general population votes.

ASIANS LIKE JEWS, EXCEPT IN VOTING

In many respects, Asians are like Jews and gays in terms of income, 50% adult college education, about 2-3% of the population, discrimination history, employment in technical fields, but voting rate and liberalism isn't the same at all. Young Asians are more liberal however, and were least likely of teens in 1990s USA Today survey to oppose affirmative action.

CONSERVATISM: ASIANS NOW LEAN DEMOCRAT, BUT NOT AS MUCH AS OTHER MINORITIES

Asians were the only group that is slightly more conservative than whites. In many cities such as San Francisco more Asians are liberal than conservative overall, however the difference gap is consistent between LA and SF in that Asians are still slightly more conservative than white even when they are liberal. Asians favored NY Guiliani over Dinkins 3 to 1 when the city was very close overall. The 2000 election marks the first time Asian exit polls are firmly on the side of the Democratic presidential candidate indicating Asians may be heading towards the highly educated, affluent minorities like Jews and Gays in liberalism.

In 1992, Asians were even with whites. After 1994, New York Times exit polls show that Asian favored Democrats by 12-25 percentage points more than whites, with an over all 56 - 40 split by 2010

 
Summary of Voting Rates
Ranked by Asian Index White = 1.0
=============================================================
92 US President  W1.0 B-1.2 H-1.3 A-1.3  (citizen)
94 US Congress   W1.0 B-1.3 H-1.5 A-1.3  (citizen)
94 CA register   W1.0 B-1.4 H-3.1 A-2.2  (all)
94 US Congress   W1.0 B-1.3 H-2.5 A-2.4  (all)
92 US President  W1.0 B-1.2 H-2.2 A-2.4  (all)
96 US President  W1.0 B-1.2 H-2.4 A-3.9  (all, ABC news)
94 California    W1.0 B-1.8 H-3.5 A-2.9
94 US Congress   W1.0 B 1.0 H-2.3 A-4.4  Jew 1.8 Gay 1.4
94 Los Angeles   W1.0 B-1.5 H-6.7 A-5.9
94 San Jose      W1.0       H-3.6 A-16.7

Rank by Group, 1994 US Congress
Relative voting rates
     Ethnic / Race
 1.8 Jew
 1.4 Gay
 1.0 White
 1.0 Black
-2.3 Hispanic
-5.9 Asian

Summary of conservatism - Asians are generally the most 
Conservative index White=1.00

It's not a myth -- even in cities where Asians are overwhelmingly
Democratic, they are less so than whites (except in NYC??)

=====================================================================
SF Jordan/Agnos  W1.0 B-1.3 H-1.1 A 1.3            Gay -5.4
Alameda Rep   96 W1.00            A 1.22
1996 Pres(ABC)   W1.0 B-7.2 H-3.3 A 1.14  Jew -5.2 Gay -3.9
San Fran Rep 96  W1.00            A 1.13
1988 President   W1.0 B-5.0 H-1.6 A 1.1   Jew -1.6 (white = Italian)
1996 Pres(CNN)   W1.0 B-7.5 H-3.7 A 1.04  Jew -5.2
1994 Congress    W1.0 B-4.5 H-1.8 A 1.02  Jew -2.4 Gay -2.2 *
------------ Asians more liberal ------------------------------------
1996 Pres(NYC)   W1.0             A-1.79
'96 Pres ABC HI  W1.00            A 2.21  (1)
'96 Pres ABC CA  W1.00            A 1.31  (1)
'00 Gore CNN US  W1.00 B2.14 H1.5 A 1.31
-----------------------------------------------
(1) compared to US white

Asians are more liberal than whites on presidential vote only
in CA and HI.


Contents

  • Bilingual
  • Crime
  • Education
  • First Time voters
  • Geography Liberal->East Conservative->South
  • Income High income->Conservative
  • Presidential Elections
  • Voting Rate
  • Religion Jewish---> Mormon @@Bilingual Ballots \doc\95\05\chinvote.txt - Alameda County will provide special bilingual help to Chinese voters. MANY ASIANS USE BILINGUAL VOTING INFORMATION / BALLOTS National Asian Pacific American legal Consortium study: 13.6% of APA used bilingual information in Chinese, 55% of Chinese Americans in Rosemead, 26% used Chinese language ballots, in New York 31.1% used bilingual information. 17% wanted a language other than English or Chinese. "A Taste of Political Power" Asian Week Aug 9, 1996 p. 18 @@Christian Nov 9, 2010 http://defendchristians.org/news/christian-participation-made-the-difference/ "In the 2006 midterm election Evangelicals made up only 25% of voters. This resulted in Nancy Pelosi becoming Speaker of the House and Harry Reid becoming the Majority Leader in the Senate. But in 2010 Evangelicals were 32% of the voters. This is an historical high for a midterm election and shifted the balance of power in Washington D.C.. 78% of Evangelicals voted for pro-life, pro-marriage Christian ideals. Evangelicals are the largest voting block in America and when we show up our values prevail. " @@city %%New York \doc\web\98\09\avote2.txt New York Asians vote for democratic senator %%San Francisco 1999 Registered Voters in San Francisco Asian American 18% African Am 8.5% Latino 3-5% Caucasian 68.5-70% Chinese American Voters Educatin Committee AsianWeek Aug 12, 1999 p. 17 SAN FRANCISCO 16% OF VOTERS CHINESE VS 3.5 CALF \clip\98\09\sfpoll.txt http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/examiner/hotnews/stories/27/ poll.dtl San Francisco Examiner Poll shows Asians could swing vote By Julie Chao OF THE EXAMINER STAFF Wednesday, May 27, 1997 77% chose to answer in poll in Chinese. Most oppose prop 227 73-16 ending bilingual education. About 16 percent of registered voters in San Francisco are Chinese American, compared with 3.5 percent statewide. \doc\96\03\queens.txt "Queen's Old Timers Uneasy As Asians Influences Grow" NY Times 3/31/96 p. A1. Only 20% of Asian citizens, 4% of Asians overall in Queens NY registered to vote. \priv\96\04\GUILIANI.TXT San Jose Mercury news says that Guilani narrowly won over Dinkins in 1993, but AALDEF article said he was favored 3 to 1 by Asians \doc933\RIOWOO.XLS Los Angeles 93 mayor race between Mike Woo Rich Riordan Number of voters compared to population Vs. Population W1.8 B1.2 H.22 A.31 Index W1.0 B-1.5 H-6.7 A-5.9 A+H are 50% of LA population, but only 14% of city voters "Willie Brown Uses Up One of His Nine Lives" Wall Street Journal May 23, 1995 San Francisco voters are estimated to be 20% gay, 18% Asian, 10% Black \doc\doc913\SFPOLL.WK1,PRN - 1991 mayor by race, income, gay Ranked by Liberal (Agnos) and Conservative (Jordan) Agnos Jordan Index Agnos 91% Jordan 92% Gay 80% Hsieh 64% Hongisto 61% 55 olde 62% 18 to 34 58% Asian 56% 1.30 Hispanic 57% Hetero 49% Black 56% Women 46% Alioto 55% All 43% 40k to 60 51% Likely 43% 35 to 54 50% Under 2 43% Likely 49% 20k to 43% over 60k 49% NH Whit 43% 1.00 Men 48% Men 41% 20k to 39 46% 40k to 40% All 46% Hispani 40% -1.07 NH White 45% over 60 39% Under 20k 45% 35 to 5 38% Women 43% Black 34% -1.26 Hetero 40% 18 to 3 32% Asian 33% Alioto 30% 55 older 27% Hongist 25% Hsieh 17% Gay 8% -5.38 Jordan 3% Agnos 4% Conservative index Jordan/Agnos W1.0 B-1.3 H-1.1 A 1.3 Gay -5.4 doc923\sccvote.wk1 Santa Clara County voters by Asian ethnicity doc941\sj16vote.wk1 - San Jose 16th district vote Index B+W Hispanic Asian B+W vs Avg Reg voters 1.00 -2.33 -10.71 1.97 Voted 92 Primary 1.00 -3.57 -16.68 2.19 Reg Democrats 1.00 -1.67 -17.68 1.86 DEMOCRATS OWN THE TOP AND THE BOTTOM z60\clip\2002\10\votedem.txt 23 Oct 2002 Subject: UPI/Sailer: Election 2002 Demographic Trends Election 2002: The demographic trends By Steve Sailer UPI National Correspondent (Part of UPI's Special Report on Election 2002) http://www.upi.com/view.cfm?StoryID=20021016-094913-4016r Kotkon... the Democrats have become the party of the new aristocracy... Now, a lot of billionaires are Democrats. The GOP is becoming the party of middle class families. In the new Gallup Poll, the Democrats carry 62 percent of those with a post-graduate education and 61 percent of those making less than $30,000. In comparison, the Republicans do best among college graduates (59 percent) and households making $50,000 to $75,000. @@Class @@congress WHITES TURNOUT, ASIANS STOP DEMO SLIDE, OTHERS SAME z60\clip\2002\11\whitwin.txt http://www.upi.com/view.cfm?StoryID=20021111-033923-4196r Analysis: Whites, not Latinos, win for GOP [in 2002] By Steve Sailer UPI National Correspondent From the Washington Politics & Policy Desk Published 11/12/2002 8:00 PM The star turn was taken by what had become the Invisible Giant of American politics: the white electorate. As reported first by United Press International, Republicans won the [2002] two-party vote by a 53 percent to 47 percent margin. the Ipsos-Reid/Cook poll found that 85 percent of likely voters were white. Only 7 percent were black, and just 4 percent Hispanic. \doc\95\12\vote94.wk1 - House Vote in 1994 NYT Poll "Portrait of the Electorate: Who Voted for Whom in the House" New York Times Nov 13, 1994 p. 15 Based on various New York Times polls of 5,000 to 10,000 voters in each year Rate ranked by Group Vote vs Pop Voted Pop Rate Index Jewish 4% 2.0% 2.00 1.84 Gay/Lesb/Bi 3% 2.0% 1.50 1.38 White 79% 72.5% 1.09 1.00 Black 13% 12.0% 1.08 -1.01 Catholic 29% 28.0% 1.04 -1.05 WhiteProtestant 41% 40.2% 1.02 -1.07 White Born-Agai 20% 29.0% 0.69 -1.58 Hispanic 5% 10.8% 0.46 -2.35 Asian 1% 4.0% 0.25 -4.36 Pop sources: US Census, CUNY, Gallup poll. Gay estimated at 2% @@Conservative "To dispel the myth that APA's tend to be conservative and hold the same viewpoints on issues"... 1.982 APA voters in six Bay Area cities were surveyed, they more requently favored the Democratic candidates for US president and the two Senate seats. [This doesn't answer the question are they more conservative that whites, even if liberal overall in a very liberal region] A Taste of Political Power Asian Week Aug 9, 1996 p. 18 @@Crime 2% WHITE BLACK VS 13% BLACK MEN CAN'T VOTE BECAUSE OF CRIMES z45\clip\2000\09\crimvote.txt AP National 9/22/2000 Crimes Keep Many Blacks From Voting by GREG TOPPO Two percent of all Americans, or 3.9 million, have lost the right to vote, compared with 13 percent of adult black men. @@Discarded Ballots The 2000 election had stories that minorities had the highest rate of discarded ballots in Florida. The common wisdom is that ballots are rigged against poor minorities. A less correct approach is that this is a sort of IQ task which la griffe du lion shows has the same 1 SD gap between groups as IQ tests. La Griffe shows best and worst voting systems used in Florida by rejection rate rate / est black rate 0.6%/3% Texas Global Election Systems 5.7%/20% Nebraska Election Systems and Software z47\clip\2000\12\votenull.txt A Racial Gap in Voided Votes Precinct Analysis Finds Stark Inequity in Polling Problems http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A52733-2000Dec26.htmlBy John Mintz and Dan Keating Washington Post Staff Writers Wednesday, December 27, 2000; Page A01 in Atlanta's Fulton County, which also uses the old punch-card voting machines, one of every 16 of its ballots for president was invalidated, while two largely white and Republican-leaning neighbors using more modern equipment, Cobb and Gwinnett counties, had a rate of 1 in 200, The Washington Post found. z47\clip\2000\12\votedisc.txt Blacks' votes were discarded at higher rates, analysis shows BY ANDRES VIGLUCCI, GEOFF DOUGHERTY AND WILLIAM YARDLEY aviglucci@herald.com In nearly all of Florida's majority-black precincts, presidential ballots were invalidated at higher rates than in mostly white neighborhoods in the Nov. 7 election, a Herald analysis of the state's uncounted ballots shows. Discard rates for all groups, including blacks, were minimal in precincts where electronic machines scan fill-in-the-oval ballots and immediately alert voters to botched ballots so they can correct them. @@Education More education is generally more conservative except it becomes more liberal again for post-graduate degrees. The New Times Portrait of the Electorate is on their WEB site. The URL is: http://search.nytimes.com/web/docsroot/library/politics/elect-port.html my copy is at \clip\97\02\nytvote\nytvote.htm %Voted for Clinton By Education in 1996 Preference is lowest at college graduate, goes up again at post graduate (indicating college bias towards liberalism is at the post grad level, otherwise, more education is more conservative) 59 ****** Not High School Graduate 51 ***** High School Graduate 48 ***** Some College 44 **** College Graduate ------Lowest 52 ***** Post Graduate 47 ***** College Grad or Post @@First time voter In the San Francisco Bay Area, 18.3% of APA voters said they were first-time voters, 3 times the typical rate. A Taste of Political Power Asian Week Aug 9, 1996 p. 18 @@fraud \doc\web\97\02\votefrau.txt 4 February 1997 Raoul Lowery Contreras sdraoul@aol.com Subj: Immigrant vote fraud THE AMERICAN TRADITION OF STEALING ELECTIONS by RAOUL LOWERY CONTRERAS (contrares falls on the side of prosecuting those who led mostly Mexicans who were not yet citizens to vote in a contested election) @@gap \doc\95\11\gendgap.txt "Gender gap is real, but not the only gap at the voting booth" Seattle Post Intelligencer Aug 25, 1995 A3 National Women's Political Caucus found in 1994 elections voting Democratic: women 53 men 42 gap = 11 single 54.4 married 41.9 gap = 12.5 born-again Christian 29.5 "other" religion 50.5 gap=21 urban 72.2 rural 43.3 gap=28.9 white 42 blacks 91.7 gap=49.7 The gender gap was much smaller than other "gaps" @@geography The East is the most liberal, the South is the most conservative, the West and Midwest are about equal to national average. file:///C|/clip/97/02/nytvote/elect-port-economic.html New York Times Portrait % Vote for Dole (R) in 1996 ======================= 34 East 40 West 41 Midwest 41 Total US 46 South @@income Vote becomes more Republican with higher incomes /clip/97/02/nytvote/elect-port-economic.html New York Times Portrait % of 1996 Vote by income for Dole ================================= 28 <$15,000 30 Union 36 $15,000-29,999 40 $30,000-49,999 41 Total 48 $50,000 + 51 $75,000 + 54 $100,000 + @@National ASIANS LEAN DEMOCRAT 56 TO 40 \doc\web\2010\11\exitpoll2010.xls Blacks are the most Democratic, followed by liberals, non-whites, gay/LGBT, hispanics, liberal and no-religions. Most republican are tea party supporters, conservatives, evangelical and white protestants. Data from: http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/results/house/exit-polls http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2010/results/polls/#USH00p1 Analysis by Arthur Hu 2010 Asians rank 11th out of 33 groups 56/40. Whites rank 5th most New York Times Nov 2010 Exit Polls ranked by Democratic suppor Source: N=New York Times C=CNN src Demo Repub Change Black n 90% 9% 7% Liberal n 80% 8% -4% Non-whites (22%) c 75% 23% Gay/LGBT (CNN) c 68% 31% 0% Hispanic n 65% 33% 8% White - Other Religion c 65% 34% White - No Religion (9%) c 63% 36% Not a high school graduate n 60% 36% 14% Union in household (CNN) c 60% 38% 0% Less than $30,000 n 57% 40% 19% Asian n 56% 40% 18% Asian (1%) C 56% 40% 18-29 n 56% 40% 14% Post graduate n 52% 46% 8% $30,000 to $49,999 n 51% 46% 13% Women n 49% 48% 13% First-time voter n 49% 45% 0% 30-44 n 47% 50% 13% High school graduate n 46% 52% 18% 45-64* n 46% 52% 10% Moderate n 45% 42% 10% Some college education n 44% 53% 17% More than $50,000 n 43% 55% 14% Men n 42% 55% 19% College graduate n 42% 56% 16% 65 and older* n 40% 58% 22% More than $100,000 n 40% 58% 16% White Catholic (19%) c 39% 59% Weekly religious services c 39% 60% White n 38% 60% 14% White Protestant (44%) c 29% 69% Evangelical Born-Again c 20% 78% Conservative n 14% 84% 16% Tea Party Support n 11% 86% 0% Data: New York Times exit polls 1992-2010 Asians evolve towards Democrats since 1992 1992 1994 1996 White 50% 42% 45% Asian 49% 54% 43% Diff -1% 12% -2% 1998 2000 2002 2008 2010 White 43% 44% 40% 46% 38% Asian 56% 59% 66% 67% 56% Diff 13% 15% 26% 21% 18% 2010. Asians about = to white in 1992 (within 1%), up 15-25% 1998 to 2010 Asians in 2010 slightly democratic 56% to 40% , vs blacks 90% hispanic 65% democratic @@Noncitizen Almost anywhere in the usa you must be a citizen to vote, but this is the #1 reason for low voting rates among immigrant groups. If immigrants are governed as much as the next guy should't they have some say too? \CLIP\98\16\NONCIT.TXT Mass. town considers granting vote to non-citizens By Jeff Donn October 21, 1998 AMHERST, Mass. (AP) - This college town is considering whether to celebrate its social diversity further by granting local voting rights to foreigners who are legal residents of Amherst. @@Party Youth, Indians and Japanese tend to be Democratic, older Asians, Chinese, Vietnamese tend to be Republican Summary: doc\web\97\07\aspol.wk1 Asian Politics Poll Results Analysis by Arthur Hu 1997 Political Party Identification / Affliation Sorted by Republican Ratio Strong Strong Demo Repub Ratio Ethnic Democrat Democrat RepublicaRepublicaIndependeOther Total Total Others 1.1% 16.1% 9.70% 46.2% 17.2% 9.7% 17.2% 55.90% 0.31 Korean 30.4% 7.60% 41.8% 19.0% 1.3% 30.4% 49.40% 0.62 Chinese 2.1% 26.9% 9.00% 27.7% 27.7% 5.8% 29.0% 36.70% 0.79 Vietnamese 1.8% 35.5% 19.10% 24.5% 19.1% 37.3% 43.60% 0.86 All 3.4% 31.1% 9.40% 28.7% 23.8% 3.6% 34.5% 38.10% 0.91 Japanese 7.1% 35.0% 7.70% 25.1% 24.6% 0.5% 42.1% 32.80% 1.28 Filipino 8.1% 35.8% 8.30% 23.3% 22.5% 1.7% 43.9% 31.60% 1.39 Asian India 3.8% 52.5% 23.8% 20.0% 56.3% 23.80% 2.37 Source: Republican National Commmitee Aug 1992 survey of 5,000 Asian American adults in California drawn from Asian organizations and surname databbase of voters, 1,149 completed questionaires from table in Statistical Record of Asian Americans table 41 (1993 Gale Research) Summary: Japanese, Filipinos and Asian Indians identify with the Democratic Party Koreans, Chinese and Vietnamese are the strongest Republicans Political Leaning Ranked by Conservative Very Somewhat Middle Somewhat Very Cons per ConservatConservative liberal liberal Liberal Korean 36.7% 22.8% 22.8% 17.7% 3.36 Japanese 15.3% 35.0% 31.1% 13.1% 3.8% 2.98 Chinese 9.5% 36.1% 30.2% 19.0% 5.8% 1.84 All 12.0% 30.6% 30.7% 20.6% 5.5% 1.63 Others 10.8% 31.2% 23.7% 28.0% 5.4% 1.26 Filipino 11.7% 20.0% 38.3% 19.2% 10.8% 1.06 Vietnamese 10.0% 28.2% 23.6% 32.7% 5.5% 1.00 Asian Indian 20.0% 47.5% 27.5% 5.0% 0.62 Only Asian Indians consider themselves more liberal than conservative. Vietnamese are equal, despite Republican leaning, Japanese are 2nd most conservative, but among most Democratic. Source: Republican National Commitee 1992 survey of Asian American adults in California as cited by Statistical Record of Asian Americans table 48 (Gayle Research 1993) 1988 Presidential Election Source: Republican National Commitee 1992 survey of Asian American Ranked by Calif Preference for Bush/ Republican President in 1988 Not Vote Bush(R) Dukakis(DR/D Others 37.6% 58.1% 4.3% 13.51 Japanese 16.9% 56.3% 26.8% 2.10 Vietnamese 30.0% 47.3% 22.7% 2.08 Korean 38.0% 41.8% 20.3% 2.06 Chinese 21.1% 52.7% 26.2% 2.01 All 23.2% 50.7% 26.2% 1.94 Filipino 15.8% 55.0% 29.2% 1.88 Asian India 20.0% 23.8% 56.3% 0.42 Summary: Only Asian Indians favored Dukakis, even Japanese favored Bush. Source: National Republican Commitee Survey of Asian American adults in California in 1992 as cited by Statistical Record of Asian Americans table 49 (Gayle Research 1993). \clip\97\02\nytvote\nytvote.htm The New York Times Portrait of the Percent of 1996 US Electorate by party identity Repub Inde Demo All White 32 23 29 84 Black 1 2 7 10 Percent of race Repub Inde Demo White 38.0% 27.3% 34.5% Black 10.0% 20.0% 70.0% Ratio Repub Inde Demo -3.8 -1.3 2.0 \doc\96\07\asiapart.wk1 Asian Voter Party Identification, San Francisco Bay Area 1996 All Asian County Demo Repub Decline Demo Repub Decline Contra Costa 49.5% 34.4% 9.2% 49.9% 35.9% 16.4% Alameda 59.3% 21.9% 14.7% 43.9% 26.6% 27.7% San Francisco 63.9% 17.7% 18.3% 43.0% 20.0% 33.0% Index County Demo Repub Decline Contra Costa 1.008 1.044 1.783 Alameda -1.351 1.215 1.884 San Francisco -1.486 1.130 1.803 Summer 1996 Analysis by Chinese American Voters Education Committee "Asian - Born Voters Gain New Clout" Asian Week Nov 1 1996 p. 12 @@Poll ASIANS VOTED FOR MATT FONG IN 98 \doc\web\98\09\avote.txt @@president National polls generally indicate that Asians are more conservative than the population in general, but Asians in California, Hawaii, and urban centers like San Francisco and New York City appear to be liberal overall, and more liberal than the national population. Asians had favored republicans for president until the 2001 Gore / Bush race. Bush Kerry appears to indicate Asians now decisively democratic. Summary Spectrum Relative to White 2.00 = twice Democratic ---------------------------------------------------------- '96 ABC News HI Asian W1.00 A 2.21 (1) '96 ABC News CA Asian W1.00 A 1.31 (1) '00 Gore CNN W1.00 B2.14 H1.48 A 1.31 '96 CNN US W1.00 B7.49 H3.67 A-1.04 J5.24 '88 ABC News W1.00 B5.0 H1.6 A-1.1 J1.6 '96 ABC News US Asian W1.00 B7.32 H3.33 A-1.14 ---------------------------------------------------------- (1) White is equal to national white rate. %%2008 ASIANS FAVOR OBAMA BY 2 TO 1, BUT NOT 90% http://www.asianweek.com/2008/10/07/daily-dose-for-10708/#more-8701 Comprehensive New Survey Shows Asian Americans Could Play Key Role in Presidential Election This groundbreaking study, released at a Washington, D.C., press conference this morning, was conducted by researchers from four leading universities: Rutgers, the State University of New Jersey; University of California, Berkeley (UC Berkeley); University of California, Riverside (UC Riverside); and University of Southern California (USC). The researchersí 2008 National Asian American Survey (NAAS) shows that 41 percent of Asian Americans are likely to favor Obama, while 24 percent support John McCain. In battleground states, where either candidate could win on Election Day, Obama leads with 43 percent of Asian Americans supporting him and 22 percent favoring McCain. Researchers point out that a key finding of the study is the high proportion of undecided Asian American likely voters: 34 percent (vs 8 general) %%2000 Race ASIANS EMBRACED DEMOS, KERRY 75-90% IN 2004 \clip\2005\05\avote04.txt http://www.vdare.com/sailer/050522_asian.htm Asian "Natural Republicans" Vote Heavily Democratic -- Any More Bright Ideas? By Steve Sailer May 22, 2005 "massive multilingual Presidential election exit poll conducted last November in eight languages of almost 11,000 Asian voters, 82 percent of them immigrants, have finally been released by the liberal Asian American Legal Defense and Education Fund. Among these Asian voters, Kerry drubbed Bush 74-24." "And the future looks even worse. Among first-time voters in the AALDEF poll, Kerry won 78-20. Among American-born Asians, who are presumably more assimilated, Kerry was victorious 80-18. Among 18 to 29-year-old Asians, Kerry won 84-14." "among South Asians, Kerry clobbered Bush -- 90-9! " z51\clip\2001\09\aspol.txt http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/01_37/b3748045.htm SEPTEMBER 10, 2001 Pols Are Salivating Over Asian Americans "While Asians have favored Republicans in Presidential elections, last year they cast their ballots for former Vice-President Gore over Bush by 55% to 41%." http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2000/results/index.epolls.html z46\clipim\2000\11\08\cnn2000.htm z46\doc\web\2000\11\cnnpoll.wk1 \doc\web\2000\11\cnnpoll.wk1 CNN 2000 exit poll by race http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2000/results/index.epolls.html 11/8/200 Vote by G All Gore Bush Buchanan Nader (read do(read across) Men 48% 42% 53% 0% 3% Women 52% 54% 43% 0% 2% Race by S All Gore Bush Buchanan Nader White Mal 48% 36% 60% 0% 3% White Fem 52% 48% 49% 0% 2% Vote by R All Gore Bush Buchanan Nader White 81% 42% 54% 0% 3% AfAm 10% 90% 9% 0% 1% Hispanic 7% 62% 35% 1% 2% Asian 2% 55% 41% 1% 3% Other 1% 55% 39% 0% 4% Index White 81% 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 AfAm 10% 2.14 -6.00 0.00 -3.00 Hispanic 7% 1.48 -1.54 0.00 -1.50 Asian 2% 1.31 -1.32 0.00 1.00 Other 1% 1.31 -1.38 0.00 1.33 Spectrum Summary: 2000 is an exception to the rule that Asians favor republicans, in 2000 they favored Gore, and by 31% more than whites. This may mean that Wu's 80-20 initiative may have had an effect. Bush's push for diversity did not highlight Asians. '00 Gore CNN W1.00 B2.14 H1.48 A1.31 Gays are just after blacks, democrats, liberals and jews in Gore support. They are also no more numerous as voters than Jews, which would put them at 2% of the general population. z46\clipim\2000\11\09\abc2000\abc2000.htm z46\doc\web\2000\11\abcrank.wk1 ABC 2000 Exit Poll Ranked by Republican Rank by Republican All Gore Bush BuchananNader †† Republican 35 8 91 0 1 †† Dole (Rep) 31 7 91 0 1 †† Conservative 29 17 81 0 1 Religious Right 14 18 80 1 1 †† Taxes 14 17 80 0 2 ††Abortion Illegal in all cases 13 22 74 2 1 NoGunCon 36 23 74 0 2 Business 53 25 71 1 2 †† Cut taxes 26 27 71 0 1 †† Perot (Ref) 6 27 64 1 7 ††Relg More than once a week 14 36 63 0 1 Gun ownder 48 36 61 0 2 †† Protestant/Christian 54 42 56 0 2 †† White 81 42 54 0 3 †† $100,000 or more 15 43 54 0 2 †† Upper middle class 27 43 54 0 3 †† Male 48 42 53 0 3 Married 65 44 53 1 2 †† $75,000-$99,999 13 45 52 0 2 Child18 39 45 52 0 2 †† Some college or associate deg 32 45 51 0 3 †† College graduate 24 45 51 0 3 †† $50,000-$74,999 25 46 51 0 2 †† High school graduate 21 48 49 1 1 †† Middle class 46 48 49 0 2 Rank by Democratic All Gore Bush BuchananNader †† Black 10 90 9 0 1 †† Democrat 39 86 11 0 2 †† Clinton (Dem) 46 82 15 1 2 †† Liberal 20 80 13 1 6 †† Jewish 4 79 19 0 1 Govt do more to solve problems 43 74 23 0 3 Gay 4 70 25 0 4 Abortion legal in all cases 23 70 25 0 4 †† Health care 8 64 33 0 3 †† Hispanic/Latino 7 62 35 1 2 Union 16 62 34 1 3 Guncontrol 60 62 34 0 3 Finbetter 50 61 36 0 2 ††Relig Never 14 61 32 1 6 †† Did not complete high school 5 59 39 1 1 †† Economy/Jobs 18 59 37 0 2 †† Protecting the environment 46 59 36 1 4 †† Social Security 14 58 40 1 1 †† Strengthen Social Security 23 58 40 0 1 NoGun 52 58 39 0 3 †† Improve education 30 58 37 0 4 NotMarried 35 57 38 0 4 †† Under $15,000 7 57 37 1 4 †† Upper class 4 56 39 0 3 †† Asian 2 55 41 1 3 †† Female 52 54 43 0 2 †† Relig Few times a year 28 54 42 0 3 NotRelRight 83 54 42 0 3 †† $15,000-$29,999 16 54 41 1 3 †† 60+ 22 51 47 0 2 †† Working class 18 51 46 0 3 †† Catholic 26 50 47 1 2 †† High school graduate 21 48 49 1 1 †† Middle class 46 48 49 0 2 http://www.asianamericanartistry.com/poll-politics.html Web poll 71% Bush 16% Gore 2% Nader 554 votes CA Exit Poll http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2000/results/CA/frameset.exclude.html z46\clipim\2000\11\09\cnnca\cnnca.htm tot gor bus nad W 71 47 48 4 B 7 86 11 2 H 14 68 29 3 A 6 48 47 4 O 2 Asian votes nearly equal to black, twice as many hispanic URBAN CA ASIANS FAVORED GORE From 80-29 initiative site 11/9/00 (A) Northern California: The SF poll was done by Chinese American Voters Education Committee (CAVEC) that has done polling in SF for many years. Help with ethnic language is available during polling in contrast to mainstream media polling. Sample size: 1,247; Chinese American = 192 Voting Gore/Bush/Others = 80%/18%/2% Aware of 80-20: 41% (B) Southern California: The LA poll was done by Asian Am. Legal Center that also has done polling in LA for a few years. Help with ethnic language is available during polling. Sample size: 5000; Asian Pacific Americans = 2000 Voting Gore/Bush/Others = 62.6%/34.7%/3% Aware of 80-20: 24% ASIANS SWITCHED TO GORE IN 2000 z46\clip\2000\11\asgore.txt Friday, November 10, 2000 http://www.latimes.com/news/state/20001110/t000107819.html Asian Americans Lean to Democrats, Poll Says Politics: A group that in the past has scattered its votes on many ballot lines voted heavily for Gore on Tuesday. By K. CONNIE KANG, Times Staff Writer an exit poll released Thursday by the Asian Pacific American Legal Center. The survey of 5,000 voters--2,000 of them Asian Americans--conducted in heavily Asian neighborhoods, showed Vice President Al Gore received 62.3% of the votes cast by Asian Americans, while Gov. George W. Bush garnered 34.7%... almost 17% of Asian Republicans in Los Angeles and Orange counties crossed over z46\clip\2000\11\bushhisp.txt Even Bush can't lure Hispanics to GOP Wednesday, 8 November 2000 7:55 (ET) Even Bush can't lure Hispanics to GOP By STEVE SAILER, UPI National Correspondent According to exit polls reported by CNN and ABC, Hispanics went for Gore 62 percent to 35 percent over Bush. CBS reported Gore trounced Bush even more dramatically among Latinos: 66 percent to 29 percent. In contrast, Bush won easily among non-Hispanic whites: 54 percent to 42 percent. ASIANS ARE MOVING LEFT TOWARDS DEMOCRATS z46\clip\2000\11\sailasia.txt UPI article. Nov 14, 2000 Asian Americans are moving to the left By STEVE SAILER UPI National Correspondent LOS ANGELES, Calif. Nov. 12 (UPI) -- Despite the Bush campaign's emphasis upon "diversity" and "inclusion," Republicans lost badly among the fast-growing Asian American community in the 2000 elections. The Los Angeles Times national exit poll found Gore beating Bush 62% to 37% among Asians. The Voter News Service exit poll showed a narrower but still resounding margin for Gore of 55% to 41%. ONLY NORTH/CENTRAL EUROPEAN AMS FAVORED BUSH z46\clip\2000\11\ethgap.txt Tue Nov 14 Richard McCulloch [shows that most ethnic and race groups favored Gore]...Northern and Central Europeans (NCEs) gave Bush 67% of their vote, it is a matter that should be extensively discussed and examined. z46\clip\2000\11\nyvote.txt Newsday 11/10/2000 - Friday - Page A 66 Asians Go for Democrats City residents overwhelmingly choose Gore, Hillary by Mae M. Cheng Staff Writer 78 percent [of Asians surveyed in NYC] said they cast their ballots in favor of Vice President Al Gore, said Margaret Fung, the executive director of the Asian American Legal Defense and Education Fund, which conducted the poll. About 20 percent said they voted for Gov. George W. Bush. Asian-Americans in California, meanwhile, voted marginally in favor of Bush. About 48 percent of the Asian-Americans there voted for Bush, with another 47 percent casting their ballots for Gore, according to CNN. In Boston, the Chinese Progressive Association, in conjunction with the Asian-American studies program at the University of Massachusetts, surveyed 217 voters at the local Chinatown voting site. 83/5 Gore/Bush 8020 says they've tipped Asians over to Gore nyvote.wk1 exit poll NY Times exit poll Asian Votes Dem GOP Third DemRate Points 2000 55 41 4 1.34 14 1996 43 48 8 0.90 -5 1992 31 55 15 0.56 -24 As shown by 80-20 initiative email 11/2000 ASIANS ARE STARTING TO VOTE LIKE JEWS - INCOME EDUCATION LIBERALS http://www.vdare.com/asian_vote.htm z46\clip\2000\11\derbvote.txt The Asian Vote 2000 By John Derbyshire The Los Angeles Times national exit poll found Gore beating Bush 62% to 37% among all Asians. The Voter News Service exit poll showed a narrower margin for Gore of 55% to 41%, but this is regarded as a less accurate poll. Also in California, Asians voted 64% to 33% for Senator Diane Feinstein over Republican Tom Campbell. Nationwide results were similar. The trend is leftward, towards a "Jewish" model - that is, a subset of the population with above-average incomes and education none the less voting heavily Democratic. MOST CHINESE ARE DEMOCRATS, BUT LESS SO THAN WHITES IN SF San Francisco Bay Area Trends Asian Week Nov 16, 2000 p. 12 Binder /CAVEC exit poll found Dem Rep Ind Chinese Am 52 17 30 Overall SF 66 10 18 LA ASIANS TURN FROM MOSTLY GOP TO MOSTLY DEMOCRAT 1996-2000 Los Angeles, Orange County: Southern California's API Republicans crossing over. LA Times statewide exit poll 63 Gore vs 33 Bush Asians AsianPacAmLegalCenter APALC S.Cal 62.3 Gore 34.7 Bush Dem Rep None 48.4 29.7 19.5 2000 More democrats 35.7 40.2 24.1 1996 More republicans +4% democratic over past 8 months in 2000 16.5% of API republicans voted for Gore Emil Amok Nov 16, 2000 - says there was a landslide at least among persons of color. California 86/11 Black 67/28 Hispanic 48/47 Asian z47\clip\2000\12\racevote.txt The Structure of White Power and the Color of Election 2000 By Bob Wing, executive editor, ColorLines magazine and ww.colorlines.com December 7, 2000 What if there was an election, and nobody won? Conventional electoral wisdom discounts race as a political factor, focusing instead on class, the gender gap, union membership, etc. But, the only demographic groups that had a fairly unified vote-defined as 60 percent or more for one of the candidates-were: blacks, Latinos, Jews (81 percent for Gore), union members (62 percent for Gore), residents of large cities (71 percent for Gore), and white males (60 percent for Bush). All but union members and big-city residents are racial or ethnic groups. REPUBLICANS FAIL TO GET MINORITIES, THEY NEED TO SOLIDIFY WHITE BASE? z47\clipim\2000\12\27\racevote\racevote.htm It's Race, Stupid by Samuel Francis American Renaissance Jan 2001 Every racial group backed the democrats solidly except whites, so strategy to attract minorities failed, they really failed to attract enough whites to win decisively. Migrant News Jan 2001: Detailed analysis of exit polls suggest that Hispanics voted 62 to 35 percent for Democrat Al Gore over Republican George Bush. All Hispanic groups except Cuban-Americans (79 percent for Bush) cast most of their votes for Gore: Mexican-Americans (69 percent for Gore); Puerto Ricans (71 percent); Central Americans (74 percent); and South Americans (69 percent). Oct 28-Nov 3 2000 Northwest Asian Weekly has all democratic candidates endorsed, plus Terry Bergeson z47\clip\2001\01\gwblak.htm Why Do Blacks Hate Dubya? By Steve Sailer Theorizes that appearing to favor Hispanic immigrants alienated blacks, and Bush would have gained more with a minor improvement in white vote compared to major black change. z47\clipim\2001\01\22\elec2000\elec2000.htm http://www.lagriffedulion.f2s.com/elec2000.htm La Griffe du Lion Volume 3 Number 1 January 2001 THE CASE OF THE UNCOUNTED BALLOTS Using differential rates of valid votes to map into known congitive distributions, he concludes. Sequoia Pacific System punch-card system would disqualify more than 25 percent of blacks and 5 percent of whites. "An 11.7 percent error rate for blacks caused 105,000 presidential votes to go uncounted. The white error rate of 1.4 percent resulted in a loss of 75,000 ballots. Had there been no voter error, with all voters recording their true intent, Gore would have picked up a net of 77,000 votes, enough to defeat Bush handily in Florida, and award him the presidency." z48\clip\2001\02\nader.txt Monday, 5 February 2001 21:35 (ET) Analysis: Revival of the left -- part 3 By STEVE SAILER and JAMES CHAPIN, UPI National Correspondents http://www.vny.com/cf/news/upidetail.cfm?QID=157698 Nader's voters were 58 percent male, 88 percent white, 33 percent under 29 (as compared to 17 percent of all voters), 52 percent unmarried (as against 35 percent of all voters); and 39 percent (as compared to 15 percent of all voters) practiced non-Judeo-Christian religions or none at all. Only 1 percent of all Jews voted for Nader, according to the Voter News Service exit poll. Further, even though Jews cast 4 percent of all votes, Nader drew just 1 percent of his support from Jews. %%1996 Race ASIANS ONLY RACE THAT FAVORED DOLE(R) IN 1996 IN VNS POLL Source: Voter News Service from chart in Investor's Business Daily Aug 22, 1997 Ethnic vote in 1996 US Presidential Race GOP Democrat Asian 45 42 White 42 44 Hispanic 21 70 Black 10 84 (Approx from chart) The New Times Portrait of the Electorate is on their WEB site. The URL is: http://search.nytimes.com/web/docsroot/library/politics/elect-port.html my copy is at \clip\97\02\nytvote\nytvote.htm \clip\96\08\voter96.txt 1996 Voters At a Glance By The Associated Press Wednesday, November 6, 1996 3:36 am EST The Voter News Service survey of 16,338 participants had a three percentage point margin of error. VNS is a collaboration of The Associated Press and the ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN and FOX television networks. -RACE: 83% White 10% Black 5% Hispanic 1% Asian 24% Union 38% Protestant 29% Catholic 17% Other Christian 3% Jewish 8% No Religion 16% Religious right 93% born in the US 5% gay/les/bisexual 37% Gun Owner ASIANS MORE LIBERAL IN NEW YORK CITY PRESIDENTIAL 1996 OCA POLL Nov 7, 1996 Asian American Legal Defense and Education Fund 212-966-5932 * 71% of Asian Americans supported President Bill Clinton, favoring his re-election by a wide margin, with 21% for Bob Dole, and 2% for Ross Perot. * Citywide, 59% of all New Yorkers voted for Clinton, with 31% for Dole and 8% for Perot. The poll indicates that Asian American voters in New York City, consistent with a national trend, supported incumbent candidates and did not believe a change in leadership was needed. Clin Dole Perot Asian 71 21 2 Citywide 59 31 8 -------------------------- Ratio 1.20 0.67 Combined 1.79 reference: \doc\96\07\ocapoll.txt CNN/Time All Politics url: http://allpolitics.com/elections/natl.exit.poll/index1.html local: \clip\96\08\allpexit.htm Electoral Vote: Clinton 379, Dole 159 Popular Vote: Clinton 49%, Dole 41%, Perot 8%, Nader 1%, Browne 1% Race Index: W1.00 B7.49 H3.67 A-1.04 Vote By Race All Cl Dol Per Cli Dol Per C/D Index White 83 43 46 9 73 93 90 0.93 1.00 African-Americans 10 84 12 4 17 3 4 7.00 7.49 Hispanics 5 72 21 6 7 2 3 3.43 3.67 Asians 1 43 48 8 1 1 1 0.90 -1.04 Other 1 64 21 9 2 1 1 3.05 3.26 ReligJewish 3 78 16 3 6 1 1 4.87 5.24 1996 Presidential Election Results Sorted By Clinton Preference Horiz % Vert % Group All ClintoDole Perot ClintoDole Perot Clinton 43 85 9 4 75 10 22 PartyDemocrat 39 84 10 5 68 10 23 Race African-Americans 10 84 12 4 17 3 4 IdeolLiberal 20 78 11 7 31 5 17 WrelgJewish 4 78 16 3 7 1 1 ReligJewish 3 78 16 3 6 1 1 Race Hispanics 5 72 21 6 7 2 3 Race Other 1 64 21 9 2 1 1 ReligOther Religion 6 60 23 11 7 3 7 ReligNone 7 59 23 13 9 4 11 IncomLess Than $15,000 11 59 28 11 14 8 14 No High School 6 59 28 11 8 4 8 IdeolModerate 47 57 33 9 55 37 51 WrelgNo Religion 7 56 26 14 9 4 10 Not Wh Rel Right 80 54 35 9 88 69 81 Women 52 54 38 7 58 48 43 Didn't Vote 9 53 33 11 9 7 11 Age 18-29 17 53 34 10 18 14 21 Incom$15-30,000 23 53 36 9 25 20 24 ReligCatholic 29 53 37 9 31 27 27 Ed Post-Graduate 17 52 40 5 18 18 10 WrelgOther Religion 5 51 29 13 5 3 6 HS Graduate 24 51 35 13 25 21 32 No CoDegree 57 51 37 11 59 53 69 Age 65 and Older 16 50 43 6 16 17 12 Age 18-64 84 49 40 9 84 83 88 Total US 49 41 8 Incom$30-50,000 27 48 40 10 27 27 31 Ed Some College 27 48 40 10 27 27 29 Age 30-44 33 48 41 9 32 33 34 WrelgCatholic 29 48 41 10 32 26 28 Age 45-59 26 48 41 9 26 27 27 WhiteWomen 52 48 43 8 58 49 43 Age Over 60 24 48 44 7 23 25 19 Coll Graduates 43 47 44 7 41 47 31 Incom$50-75,000 21 47 45 7 20 23 17 ReligOther Christian 16 45 41 12 15 17 21 Ed College Graduate 26 44 46 8 23 30 21 Incom$75-100,000 9 44 48 7 8 10 7 PartyIndependent 26 43 35 17 23 22 53 Men 48 43 44 10 42 52 57 Race White 83 43 46 9 73 93 90 Race Asians 1 43 48 8 1 1 1 ReligProtestant 38 41 50 8 32 47 33 WhiteMen 48 38 49 11 42 51 57 IncomOver $100,000 9 38 54 6 7 12 7 WrelgProtestant 56 36 53 10 46 65 55 Wh Rel Right 17 26 65 8 9 27 15 Perot 12 22 44 33 6 13 48 IdeolConservative 33 20 71 8 14 57 32 PartyRepublican 35 13 80 6 9 68 24 Bush 35 13 82 4 10 69 18 ASIANS MOST CONSERVATIVE IN 1996 PRESIDENTIAL ABC POLL url: http://www.politicsnow.com/?13,17 local: \clip\96\08\exitpoll.txt \clip\96\08\exitpoll.htm \doc\96\07\pres96.wk1 ABC News Exit Poll results Rankings by Arthur Hu United States except as noted (Asians from CA and Hawaii) Ratio ClintDole PerotC/D Index Black 84 12 4 7.00 7.32 Jewish 80 16 3 5.00 5.23 GayLB 67 18 10 3.72 3.89 Hisp/L 70 22 6 3.18 3.33 OtherRe 62 25 7 2.48 2.59 NoRelg 57 26 13 2.19 2.29 HawaiiAs 64 30 4 2.13 2.21 Women 54 38 7 1.42 1.49 Cath 53 38 8 1.39 1.46 CA Asian 53 42 4 1.26 1.31 OthChri 49 38 12 1.29 1.35 USBorn 48 42 7 1.14 1.19 NotUSB 48 48 3 1.00 1.05 NotGay 47 44 7 1.07 1.12 Men 44 45 9 0.98 1.02 White 44 46 8 0.96 1.00 Asian 41 49 9 0.84-1.14 Prot 41 50 8 0.82-1.17 Group Percent Index White 84% 1.00 Black 10% -1.23 Hispanic 5% -2.46 Asian 1% -3.91 Asians slightly more liberal than whites in California, much more so in Hawaii, but more conservative nationally \doc\95\10\ethpres.wk1 - 1988 Presidential Vote by Ethnicity 1988 President W1.0 B-5.0 H-1.6 A1.1 Jew -1.6 (white = Italian) 1988 ABC NEWS Election Day Exit Poll Table Assembled from ethnic, religion & race questions N= about 30,000 voters randomly selected nationwide Ranked by percent republican Democrat Republican % All Dukakis Bush Other & blanks 4 na na Index Eng/Scot/Welsh 27 34 65 Irish Prot 4 34 65 German 21 38 61 French 3 40 59 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Asian 1 42 57 1.1 Scandanavia 4 43 55 Write-in 5 43 55 Italian 6 46 53 1.0 Irish Catholic 5 50 50 Polish/Slavic 5 50 49 Greek 1 55 45 Hispanic 2 66 33 -1.6 Jewish 4 69 30 -1.6 Black 8 88 10 -5.0 Note that Jews are double their 2% population, which indicates that nearly all of them vote, vs about half the general population Blacks are the most liberal, followed by Jews and Hispanics Only the English, Irish, Germans and French were more republican than the Asian Americans Additional analysis by Arthur Hu 1992 Election \doc\96\08\clinton1.prn clinton1.wk1 Support for Clinton in California 1992 W1.00 B7.68 H2.45 A?.?? Category Clinton Bush Clin/Bush Undecided Index Demo 77% 7% 1100% 7.00 Black 83% 8% 1038% 19.00 7.68 Other Reli 67% 16% 419% 22.00 Other Part 52% 14% 371% 9.00 Hispanic 63% 19% 332% 18.00 No Relig 66% 20% 330% 23.00 '18-29 54% 19% 284% 12.00 N Cal 59% 22% 268% 3.00 '40-49 58% 24% 242% 14.00 Post-Grad 63% 27% 233% 27.00 Urban 56% 27% 207% 4.00 '30-39 51% 28% 182% 13.00 College Gr 52% 30% 173% 26.00 Suburb 50% 29% 172% 5.00 Men 47% 28% 168% 10.00 Catholic 48% 29% 166% 21.00 Women 51% 31% 165% 11.00 State 49% 30% 163% 1.00 Some Coll 46% 30% 153% 25.00 '50-59 47% 32% 147% 15.00 HS Grad or 43% 31% 139% 24.00 White 45% 33% 136% 17.00 1.00 South Cal 43% 36% 119% 2.00 Protest 39% 38% 103% 20.00 rural 36% 38% 95% 6.00 '60+ 37% 44% 84% 16.00 Repub 18% 58% 31% 8.00 Field poll Sept 8-15 in California Margin of error +/- 4 points More education, younger, minority,urban, Northern Cal, no religion, Jewish Bush - rural, white, protestant, older - only rural, 60+ and Republicans SJ Mercury 9-18-92 More educated = more liberal \doc\doc924\clinton1.wk1 Clinton/Bush exit poll California @@race Once upon a time, whites wouldn't vote for a minority candidate, but lately, the only people who care about race are the ones who favor minorities, at least in Washington. http://www.seattletimes.com/extra/browse/html/poll_091896.html \clip\96\04\polllock.txt The Seattle Times Company Sept. 18, 1996 Seattle Times Washington Poll shows strong Locke support Craswell would need to broaden base to win state, results indicate -- One-fourth of the poll participants said their candidate's ethnic background was a critical or important consideration. Rice was the largest vote-getter with that group. Comment - now it's the left, not the right that makes race of the candidate a crucial issue, and blacks, not whites are favored, the top 2 vote getters were Asian and black in a state nearly 90% whites. @@Rate http://www.arthurhu.com/index/avote.htm#voterate REAL ASIANS DON'T VOTE Overall, Asians have the lowest rate of registration, about half the rate of whites or blacks. This is primarily due to low rates of citizenship, also about half the rate of whites. It's also lower for citizens but it's much closer. It's within 15% for US born Asians in California. Summary Spectrum - --------------------------------------------------------------- 1994 CA US born W1.0 B-1.31 H-1.53 A-1.15 1994 US census citizen W1.0 B-1.28 H-1.47 A-1.25 2000 Boston citizen W1.0 A-1.37 1994 CA For born W1.0 B-1.17 H-1.35 A-1.46 2000 Boston W1.0 A-2.41 1994 US census overall W1.0 B-1.27 H-2.45 A-2.42 1997 Los Angeles W1.0 B-1.74 H-4.64 A-4.05 1996 CA registered W1.0 B 1.00 H-2.63 A-6.66 ----------------------------------------------------------------- %%General \clip\96\04\asamrall.txt L.A. TIMES Wednesday, September 11, 1996 Asian Americans Rally for Unity. Of the 10 million people of Asian ancestry in the United States in 1994, only 1.2 million were registered voters, according to Levin Sy of the Asian Pacific American Voter Registration Coalition of Southern California--making it one of the lowest registration rates among ethnic minorities. ASIANS IN BOSTON REG ABOUT 1/2 OVERALL RATE, 5/7 FOR CITIZENS Institute for Asian American Studies Fall 2002 Study by Paul Watanabe and Michael Liu U Mass Boston, www.iaas.umb.edu study of census tabulations using surnames of ten cites and towns around Boston. Overall voting rate over double that of Asians. Highest overall rates about 90% in Brookline and Lexington, but 41 and 54.7 for Asians. Of citizens, 50.5% registered vs 69.5 for all citizens. Estimated 50.3% of Asians are citizens. In these areas, 56.5% of Asians registered no party affiliation, 1/3 Democrats, 11% Republicans. Boston 53.5% 23.5% Brookline 87.0% 41.0% Somerville 60.2% 24.8% Overall 61.4% 25.4% USA Today Oct 28, 1998 Source: National Election Survey Race Pop/Voters White 78.4 82.1 Black 11.4 9.5 Hisp 7.1 5.5 Asian 1.9 1.9 (pop is more like 3.5-3.9) Other 1.2 1.0 Education No HS Diploma 12.5 8.7 High School 31.6 27.2 Some College 18.8 22.2 Associate 9.1 9.7 College Grad 18.6 22.2 Post Grad 9.2 12.5 Income Less 15k 16.5 13.6 15-30 20.9 19.9 30-50 25.6 25.0 50-75 19.7 23.1 75+ 15.3 18.4 \clip\98\18\lagvote.txt Poll finds Asians lag politically By Julie Chao OF THE EXAMINER STAFF Sunday, December 6, 1998 ©1998 San Francisco Examiner URL: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/examiner/hotnews/stories/06/asians06.dtl Despite gains, City's Asian Americans still vote less, care less than other groups Just 17 percent of Asians said they were "very interested" in politics, compared with 36 percent of whites, 31 percent of blacks and 22 percent of Latinos. Asian Americans in the poll were most likely to be foreign-born: 73 percent were immigrants, compared with 55 percent of Latinos and about 10 percent each of blacks and whites. "They are most likely to be foreign-born but have higher rates of citizenship than Latinos: 73 percent of Asians and 55 percent of Latinos were born abroad, but 76 percent of Asians are citizens, compared with 61 percent of Latinos. "Most Americans say they are too busy to vote" Seattle Times Aug 17, 1998 p. A4. Census Bureau Current Population Survey of 1996 presidential election: 8% absentee 59% native born 53% naturalized citizen 42% Hisp nb 53% Hisp nc Citizens (note fewer Asians and Hispanics are citizens) White 61% Black 53% Asian 45% Hisp 44% aspol.wk1 Asian Politics Poll Results Analysis by Arthur Hu 1997 Percentage of surveyed Asians who reported they were registered voters Ranked by Not Registered To Vote Yes No Korean 67.1% 32.9% Others 67.7% 32.3% Vietnamese 78.2% 21.8% All 81.8% 18.2% Asian India 82.5% 17.5% Chinese 84.3% 15.7% Filipino 85.8% 14.2% Japanese 88.0% 12.0% The most recent immigrants had the lowest voting rates, Koreans and Vietnamese. Japanese, Chinese and Filipinos had the highest voting rates Source: Republican National Commitee 1992 survey of Asian American adults in California as cited by Statistical Record of Asian Americans table 49 (Gayle Research 1993) 1988 Presidential Election Ranked by Not Voting Rate 1988 President Election Not Vote Korean 38.0% Others 37.6% Vietnamese 30.0% All 23.2% Chinese 21.1% Asian India 20.0% Japanese 16.9% Filipino 15.8% Source: Republican National Commitee 1992 survey of Asian American adults in California as cited by Statistical Record of Asian Americans table 49 (Gayle Research 1993) selected from Asian organizations and lists of registered voters. HISPANIC VOTE BRINGS BACK RIORDAN TO LA IN DEMOCRATIC CITY \clip\97\10\riordan.txt New York Times April 10, 1997 L.A. Mayor Re-Elected as Latino Turnout Sets Record By TODD S. PURDUM Hispanics are 1/3 of Los Angeles, but only 14% of registered voters, and normally only 8-10% of actual voters. They were 15% in the Riodan re-election of 1997, edging out blacks for the 1st time. Blacks are 13% of population but 18% of registered voters. Los Angeles Times Thursday, April 10, 1997 Latino Turnout a Breakthrough Election: Group's heavy balloting could signal a historic pivot point for political relations in L.A. By JIM NEWTON, MATEA GOLD, Times Staff Writers Ranked by relative voting rate group vote pop rate index white 65 37.3 1.74 1.00 black 13 13.0 1.00 -1.74 asian 4 9.1 0.43 -4.05 hisp 15 39.9 .375 -4.64 other 3 Analysis by Arthur Hu relative to 1990 population (fewer than actual Hispanic or Asian) From: SDRAOUL@aol.com Whites 71% Riordan 26% Hayden 67% for school bonds Black 19% " 75% " 76% " " " Latino 60% " 33 % " 82% " " " ASian 62% " 35% " 63% " " " (Note Asians are more liberal than whites in this election) Stats from LA TIMES Raoul \clip\97\10\riorda2.txt April 11, 1997 LA HISPANICS VOTE AND THE EARTH SHAKES by RAOUL LOWERY CONTRERAS NEW YORK TIMES SYNDICATE NEW AMERICA NEWS SERVICE More statistics showing Hispanic support for schools and republicans. \clip\96\09\hispvote.txt Raoul Contrares notes that Hispanics voted in very low numbers, in contrast to spin of a huge wave of Hispanic voting. "In one precinct, there were 1302 registered Hispanic voters, yet only 528 turned out to vote. This 40.5% represents only 15-20% of the Hispanics who actually live in the precinct." BLACKS UP FROM 8% IN 1992 TO 10% OF VOTE IN 1996 \PRIV\96B\10\blakturn.txt Voter turnout of black men up Seattle Times Nov 22, 1996 National Political Congress of black women estimated 1.7 million more black men voted in 1996 than in 1992, a 53% increase, and 9.3 percent drop among black women, compared to 14.2 down for white women adn 9.3% down among white men. Black turnout increased to 10 percent of the vote compared to 8% in 1992. 84% voted for Clinton \doc\web\96\03\ascit.txt \priv\96\04\ascit.txt (full text) 80% of Asians eventually become citizens (who have the lowest rates of welfare use), the highest rate of immigrants. Of registered voters, in 1994, 76% of Asians 73% of whites 64% of Hispanics 63% of blacks cast ballots according to study sponsored by UCLA Asian American Studies Center (AP Mar 96, 1996) \doc\96\03\asvote94.wk1 - US born Asians vote at nearly as high a rate as whites. Voter Registration and Turnout Rates for Asian Americans and other races, 1994 California % Registered% Voted Overall VoteIndex Asian Americans As US Born 56.0% 78.0% 43.7% -115.3% As Foreign Bor 49.0% 74.0% 36.3% -146.3% As Overall 53.0% 76.0% 40.3% -125.0% Latinos La US Born 53.0% 62.0% 32.9% -153.3% La Foreign Bor 53.0% 74.0% 39.2% -135.2% La Overall 53.0% 64.0% 33.9% -148.5% African Americans Af US Born 61.0% 63.0% 38.4% -131.1% Af Foreign Bor 58.0% 78.0% 45.2% -117.2% Af Overall 61.0% 63.0% 38.4% -131.1% Non-Hispanic Whites Wh US Born 69.0% 73.0% 50.4% 100.0% Wh Foreign Bor 68.0% 78.0% 53.0% 100.0% Wh Overall 69.0% 73.0% 50.4% 100.0% Ranked by Index Overall Asian Americans Reg Voted Overall Index Wh Foreign Bor 68.0% 78.0% 53.0% 100.0% Wh US Born 69.0% 73.0% 50.4% 100.0% Wh Overall 69.0% 73.0% 50.4% 100.0% Af Foreign Bor 58.0% 78.0% 45.2% -117.2% >>As US Born 56.0% 78.0% 43.7% -115.3% As Overall 53.0% 76.0% 40.3% -125.0% La Foreign Bor 53.0% 74.0% 39.2% -135.2% Af US Born 61.0% 63.0% 38.4% -131.1% Af Overall 61.0% 63.0% 38.4% -131.1% >>As Foreign Bor 49.0% 74.0% 36.3% -146.3% La Overall 53.0% 64.0% 33.9% -148.5% La US Born 53.0% 62.0% 32.9% -153.3% If these figures are correct (registration * turnout rate) then US born Asians lag whites by only 15%, but the foreign born is down by 50% Source: When Numbers Do Not Add Up by Don Nakanishi as cited in Asian Week March 29, 1996 p. 15 Rate of non-Citizenship in Index Citizen Non/Cit Ratio Asian 55.0% 27.50 45.0% 0.82 Latino 44.0% 22.00 56.0% 1.27 AfricanAm 5.0% 2.50 95.0% 19.00 NH Whites 2.0% 1.00 98.0% 49.00 Asians are the only majority non-citizen group in the US \priv\96\04\immvote.txt Chicago Tribune, March 25, 1996 IMMIGRANT INFLUX MAY ALTER POLITICAL PALETTE RECORD NUMBER TAKE CITIZENSHIP, REGISTER TO VOTE, OFFICIALS SAY By Vincent J. Schodolski, Tribune Staff Writer California Voter Rates White/ Black Hisp Asian pop 63 27 10 regvote 84 14 2 rate 1.33 0.38 0.15 index 1.00 -2.63 -6.66 \doc\95\14\asvote.txt Asian.vote.rate Time April 9, 1990 p. 32 "Strangers in Paradise" Asian Americans turn out at the voting booth even less frequently than whites or blacks: a 1986 study of Southern California voters showed that only 30% of eligible Asian voters registered, compared with 80% of whites. \priv\95\12\hispvote.txt - Hispanics vote at a low rate They constitute about 10.3 percent of the U.S. population of nearly 260 million, but only 4.4 percent of registered voters in the November 1994 elections. About 53 percent of eligible Hispanic citizens were registered to vote in 1994, compared to 67 percent of all U.S. citizens over 18. DOC\94\3\LATGAY.WK1 LA Times US exit poll of 92 presidential voters Ethnicity Index men women men women gay all lesbia all gay all lesbia all White* 79% 85% 74% 83% 0.93 0.89 Black 13% 9% 15% 12% 1.55 1.34 Latino 4% 3% 7% 3% 1.43 2.51 Asian 0% 1% 0% 1% 0.00 0.00 Other 4% 2% 4% 1% 2.15 4.30 Minority voters more likely to call themselves gay, except Asian * White is gay / all, others are gay / all / white doc938\racevote.xls - US Census voting 1992 presidential election rate W64% B54% H29% A27% index B-1.2 H-2.2 A-2.4 citizen B-1.2 H-1.3 A-1.3 \doc\95\10\votereg.txt http://www.census.gov/ftp/pub/population/www/html/vote-tabtcon.html Table 3. Percent of Population Voting by Citizenship Status and Selected Demographic Characteristics: November 1994 (Numbers in thousands) _________________________________________________________________ Percent voting _________________ All Non- All Characteristics persons Citizens citizens persons Citizens _________________________________________________________________ Total: 18 yrs & over 190,267 175,448 14,819 44.6 48.4 White 160,317 150,287 10,030 46.9 50.1 Black 21,799 20,718 1,081 37.0 38.9 Asian or Pac Is 4,849 2,183 2,666 18.4 40.8 Hisp origin 1/ 17,476 9,813 7,663 19.1 34.0 1994 census citizen index W1.0 B-1.28 H-1.47 A-1.25 1994 census overall index W1.0 B-1.27 H-2.45 A-2.42 %%International Source: CNN contributed by CaptJon1@aol.com Voter turnout for legislative elections in selected democracies (as of 1995). Belgium 93% Turkey 92% Italy 89% Luxembourg 87% Austria 86% Iceland 86% Sweden 86% Denmark 83% Norway 83% Netherlands 80% Germany 78% Greece 77% United Kingdom 76% Finland 72% Spain 70% Ireland 69% Portugal 68% France 65% U.S. (1994) 38% @@religion Jews are the most liberal, "Other nonChristian" or no religio, somewhat less so. Catholics are dead average. White protestants ("religious right") are the most conservative CNN/Time All Politics url: http://allpolitics.com/elections/natl.exit.poll/index1.html local: \clip\96\08\allpexit.htm Electoral Vote: Clinton 379, Dole 159 Popular Vote: Clinton 49%, Dole 41%, Perot 8%, Nader 1%, Browne 1% 1996 Presidential Election Results Sorted By Clinton Preference Horiz % Group All ClintoDole Race African-Americans 10 84 12 WrelgJewish 4 78 16 ReligJewish 3 78 16 ReligOther Religion 6 60 23 ReligNone 7 59 23 WrelgNo Religion 7 56 26 Not Wh Rel Right 80 54 35 ReligCatholic 29 53 37 WrelgOther Religion 5 51 29 WrelgCatholic 29 48 41 Popular Vote 49 41 ReligOther Christian 16 45 41 ReligProtestant 38 41 50 WrelgProtestant 56 36 53 Wh Rel Right 17 26 65 \clip\96\04\cathclin.txt Date: Wed, 4 Sep 1996 17:04:19 -0400 White Catholics Back Clinton in Key Religious Swing Vote With AP Graphic By DAVID BRIGGS AP Religion Writer \doc\95\07\relgpart.wk1 - Religion and Political Party "Portrait of Religion in U.S. Holds Dozens of Surprises" New York Times April 10, 1991 p.A1 Source: The Graduate School and CUNY University of the City University of New York Telephone Survey of 113,000 households from April 1989 to April 1990 by Barry Kosmin Percentage of Religion Identifying with Party Democrat Republican Ratio Jewish 43% 22% 1.95 Baptist 43% 27% 1.59 Pentecostal 38% 27% 1.41 Catholic 38% 27% 1.41 Methodist 35% 36% -1.03 Presbyteria 28% 44% -1.57 Lutheran 26% 37% -1.42 Episcopalia 25% 41% -1.64 Mormon 23% 51% -2.22 @@state ---------------------------------------------------------- California statewide registered voters by race (percent) Race Pct Pop Rate Index White 76% 56.4 1.35 1.00 Black 7% 7.4 0.95 -1.42 Asian/PI 6% 9.6 0.63 -2.16 Hispanic 11% 25.8 0.43 -3.16 Source: Field Institute poll, 1994 cited in Asian Week Aug 9, 1996 p. 18 F060597 \doc\web\97\04\cavote.wk1 doc938\NJVOTE93.xls 1993 New Jersey Gov race B-2.0 H & A -3.1 Asian.vote.immigration d:\doc\95\01\prop187.wk1 - Vote against illegal immigrants, 1994 For: W64% B56% H31% A57% W1.00 B-1.14 H-2.06 A-1.12 \doc\95\11\cavote.wk1 Summary: Asians and Hispanics are half the population of California, but only 10 percent of the vote. Blacks are NOT underrepresented. LA Times Poll Percent W B H A Republican 87.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 Democrat 74.0 11.0 9.0 3.0 Total 79.3 7.8 7.0 3.4 Index Republican 1.59 -2.39 -7.10 -2.88 Democrat 1.35 1.53 -3.15 -3.84 Total 1.45 1.08 -4.07 -3.38 Index vs. State population, 1994 W B H A State pop (92) 54.7% 7.2% 28.4% 11.5% Eligible voters 1.30 1.11 -2.03 -1.92 Registered voters 1.61 -1.20 -2.58 Voters 1994 1.48 -1.79 -3.55 -2.88 Voters 1992 1.50 -1.44 -4.05 -3.84 Voters 1990 1.41 1.11 -3.15 -3.84 @@Vietnamse Asianweek Nov 18, 1994 Vietnamese Americans Rock the Vote Bobbie Lee p. 21 Viet voters by party Republican 56% Democrats 26% Others 18% Santa Clara County Vietnamese am voters in Santa clara county 1981 120 1988 9,065 1992 14,160 1994 18,139 @@Women Z48\CLIP\2001\02\GENDGAP.TXT The Gender Gap Explained Robbing Peter & Paul to Pay Mary! By Samuel Silver http://frontpagemag.com/archives/feminism/silver02-19-01.htm FrontPageMagazine.com | February 19, 2001 Suffrage coincided with immediate increases in state government expenditures and revenue, and these effects continued growing as more women took advantage of the franchise. Similar changes occurred at the federal level as female suffrage led to more liberal voting records for the states' U.S. House and Senate delegations.