Common wisdom is that the low black voting rate is a huge problem. Actually, the black rate is only slightly below the white rate, it's the Asian and Hispanic rates that are really low where they are dominant in the population. Asians vote at the lowest rates of any race nationally, just ahead of Hispanics in CA, probably because Asians have the lowest rate of citizenship, a basic voting qualification. However the rate of Hispanics and Asians is comparable to that of Blacks when citizenship is taken into account. Born-again Christians also appear to have lower voter rate than blacks. Jews and gays appear to have the highest voting rates, typically near unity as a percent of group and double their population as percentage of all voters, though this is rarely documented.
In 1992, Asians were even with whites. After 1994, New York Times exit polls show that Asian favored Democrats by 12-25 percentage points more than whites, with an over all 56 - 40 split by 2010
Summary of Voting Rates
Ranked by Asian Index White = 1.0
=============================================================
92 US President W1.0 B-1.2 H-1.3 A-1.3 (citizen)
94 US Congress W1.0 B-1.3 H-1.5 A-1.3 (citizen)
94 CA register W1.0 B-1.4 H-3.1 A-2.2 (all)
94 US Congress W1.0 B-1.3 H-2.5 A-2.4 (all)
92 US President W1.0 B-1.2 H-2.2 A-2.4 (all)
96 US President W1.0 B-1.2 H-2.4 A-3.9 (all, ABC news)
94 California W1.0 B-1.8 H-3.5 A-2.9
94 US Congress W1.0 B 1.0 H-2.3 A-4.4 Jew 1.8 Gay 1.4
94 Los Angeles W1.0 B-1.5 H-6.7 A-5.9
94 San Jose W1.0 H-3.6 A-16.7
Rank by Group, 1994 US Congress
Relative voting rates
Ethnic / Race
1.8 Jew
1.4 Gay
1.0 White
1.0 Black
-2.3 Hispanic
-5.9 Asian
Summary of conservatism - Asians are generally the most
Conservative index White=1.00
It's not a myth -- even in cities where Asians are overwhelmingly
Democratic, they are less so than whites (except in NYC??)
=====================================================================
SF Jordan/Agnos W1.0 B-1.3 H-1.1 A 1.3 Gay -5.4
Alameda Rep 96 W1.00 A 1.22
1996 Pres(ABC) W1.0 B-7.2 H-3.3 A 1.14 Jew -5.2 Gay -3.9
San Fran Rep 96 W1.00 A 1.13
1988 President W1.0 B-5.0 H-1.6 A 1.1 Jew -1.6 (white = Italian)
1996 Pres(CNN) W1.0 B-7.5 H-3.7 A 1.04 Jew -5.2
1994 Congress W1.0 B-4.5 H-1.8 A 1.02 Jew -2.4 Gay -2.2 *
------------ Asians more liberal ------------------------------------
1996 Pres(NYC) W1.0 A-1.79
'96 Pres ABC HI W1.00 A 2.21 (1)
'96 Pres ABC CA W1.00 A 1.31 (1)
'00 Gore CNN US W1.00 B2.14 H1.5 A 1.31
-----------------------------------------------
(1) compared to US white
Asians are more liberal than whites on presidential vote only
in CA and HI.
Contents
Bilingual
Crime
Education
First Time voters
Geography Liberal->East Conservative->South
Income High income->Conservative
Presidential Elections
Voting Rate
Religion Jewish---> Mormon
@@Bilingual Ballots
\doc\95\05\chinvote.txt - Alameda County will provide special
bilingual help to Chinese voters.
MANY ASIANS USE BILINGUAL VOTING INFORMATION / BALLOTS National Asian
Pacific American legal Consortium study: 13.6% of APA used bilingual
information in Chinese, 55% of Chinese Americans in Rosemead, 26%
used Chinese language ballots, in New York 31.1% used bilingual
information. 17% wanted a language other than English or Chinese. "A
Taste of Political Power" Asian Week Aug 9, 1996 p. 18
@@Christian
Nov 9, 2010
http://defendchristians.org/news/christian-participation-made-the-difference/
"In the 2006 midterm election Evangelicals made up only 25% of voters.
This resulted in Nancy Pelosi becoming Speaker of the House and Harry
Reid becoming the Majority Leader in the Senate. But in 2010
Evangelicals were 32% of the voters. This is an historical high for a
midterm election and shifted the balance of power in Washington D.C..
78% of Evangelicals voted for pro-life, pro-marriage Christian ideals.
Evangelicals are the largest voting block in America and when we show
up our values prevail. "
@@city
%%New York
\doc\web\98\09\avote2.txt New York Asians vote for
democratic senator
%%San Francisco
1999 Registered Voters in San Francisco
Asian American 18%
African Am 8.5%
Latino 3-5%
Caucasian 68.5-70%
Chinese American Voters Educatin Committee
AsianWeek Aug 12, 1999 p. 17
SAN FRANCISCO 16% OF VOTERS CHINESE VS 3.5 CALF
\clip\98\09\sfpoll.txt
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/examiner/hotnews/stories/27/
poll.dtl San Francisco Examiner Poll shows Asians could swing vote By
Julie Chao OF THE EXAMINER STAFF Wednesday, May 27, 1997 77% chose to
answer in poll in Chinese. Most oppose prop 227 73-16 ending
bilingual education. About 16 percent of registered voters in San
Francisco are Chinese American, compared with 3.5 percent statewide.
\doc\96\03\queens.txt "Queen's Old Timers Uneasy As Asians Influences
Grow" NY Times 3/31/96 p. A1. Only 20% of Asian citizens, 4% of
Asians overall in Queens NY registered to vote.
\priv\96\04\GUILIANI.TXT San Jose Mercury news says that Guilani
narrowly won over Dinkins in 1993, but AALDEF article said he was
favored 3 to 1 by Asians
\doc933\RIOWOO.XLS Los Angeles 93 mayor race between Mike Woo Rich Riordan
Number of voters compared to population
Vs. Population W1.8 B1.2 H.22 A.31
Index W1.0 B-1.5 H-6.7 A-5.9
A+H are 50% of LA population, but only 14% of city voters
"Willie Brown Uses Up One of His Nine Lives" Wall Street Journal May
23, 1995 San Francisco voters are estimated to be 20% gay, 18% Asian,
10% Black
\doc\doc913\SFPOLL.WK1,PRN - 1991 mayor by race, income, gay
Ranked by Liberal (Agnos) and Conservative (Jordan)
Agnos Jordan Index
Agnos 91% Jordan 92%
Gay 80% Hsieh 64%
Hongisto 61% 55 olde 62%
18 to 34 58% Asian 56% 1.30
Hispanic 57% Hetero 49%
Black 56% Women 46%
Alioto 55% All 43%
40k to 60 51% Likely 43%
35 to 54 50% Under 2 43%
Likely 49% 20k to 43%
over 60k 49% NH Whit 43% 1.00
Men 48% Men 41%
20k to 39 46% 40k to 40%
All 46% Hispani 40% -1.07
NH White 45% over 60 39%
Under 20k 45% 35 to 5 38%
Women 43% Black 34% -1.26
Hetero 40% 18 to 3 32%
Asian 33% Alioto 30%
55 older 27% Hongist 25%
Hsieh 17% Gay 8% -5.38
Jordan 3% Agnos 4%
Conservative index
Jordan/Agnos W1.0 B-1.3 H-1.1 A 1.3 Gay -5.4
doc923\sccvote.wk1 Santa Clara County voters by Asian ethnicity
doc941\sj16vote.wk1 - San Jose 16th district vote
Index B+W Hispanic Asian B+W vs Avg
Reg voters 1.00 -2.33 -10.71 1.97
Voted 92 Primary 1.00 -3.57 -16.68 2.19
Reg Democrats 1.00 -1.67 -17.68 1.86
DEMOCRATS OWN THE TOP AND THE BOTTOM
z60\clip\2002\10\votedem.txt
23 Oct 2002
Subject: UPI/Sailer: Election 2002 Demographic Trends
Election 2002: The demographic trends
By Steve Sailer
UPI National Correspondent
(Part of UPI's Special Report on Election 2002)
http://www.upi.com/view.cfm?StoryID=20021016-094913-4016r
Kotkon... the Democrats have become the party of the new
aristocracy... Now, a lot of billionaires are Democrats. The GOP is
becoming the party of middle class families. In the new Gallup Poll,
the Democrats carry 62 percent of those with a post-graduate education
and 61 percent of those making less than $30,000. In comparison, the
Republicans do best among college graduates (59 percent) and
households making $50,000 to $75,000.
@@Class
@@congress
WHITES TURNOUT, ASIANS STOP DEMO SLIDE, OTHERS SAME
z60\clip\2002\11\whitwin.txt
http://www.upi.com/view.cfm?StoryID=20021111-033923-4196r
Analysis: Whites, not Latinos, win for GOP [in 2002]
By Steve Sailer
UPI National Correspondent
From the Washington Politics & Policy Desk
Published 11/12/2002 8:00 PM
The star turn was taken by what had become the Invisible Giant of
American politics: the white electorate. As reported first by United
Press International, Republicans won the [2002] two-party vote by a 53
percent to 47 percent margin.
the Ipsos-Reid/Cook poll found that 85 percent of likely voters were
white. Only 7 percent were black, and just 4 percent Hispanic.
\doc\95\12\vote94.wk1 - House Vote in 1994 NYT Poll
"Portrait of the Electorate: Who Voted for Whom in the House"
New York Times Nov 13, 1994 p. 15 Based on various New
York Times polls of 5,000 to 10,000 voters in each year
Rate ranked by Group
Vote vs Pop Voted Pop Rate Index
Jewish 4% 2.0% 2.00 1.84
Gay/Lesb/Bi 3% 2.0% 1.50 1.38
White 79% 72.5% 1.09 1.00
Black 13% 12.0% 1.08 -1.01
Catholic 29% 28.0% 1.04 -1.05
WhiteProtestant 41% 40.2% 1.02 -1.07
White Born-Agai 20% 29.0% 0.69 -1.58
Hispanic 5% 10.8% 0.46 -2.35
Asian 1% 4.0% 0.25 -4.36
Pop sources:
US Census, CUNY, Gallup poll. Gay estimated at 2%
@@Conservative
"To dispel the myth that APA's tend to be conservative and hold the
same viewpoints on issues"... 1.982 APA voters in six Bay Area cities
were surveyed, they more requently favored the Democratic candidates
for US president and the two Senate seats. [This doesn't answer the
question are they more conservative that whites, even if liberal
overall in a very liberal region] A Taste of Political Power Asian
Week Aug 9, 1996 p. 18
@@Crime
2% WHITE BLACK VS 13% BLACK MEN CAN'T VOTE BECAUSE OF CRIMES
z45\clip\2000\09\crimvote.txt AP National 9/22/2000 Crimes Keep Many
Blacks From Voting by GREG TOPPO Two percent of all Americans, or 3.9
million, have lost the right to vote, compared with 13 percent of
adult black men.
@@Discarded Ballots
The 2000 election had stories that minorities had the highest rate of
discarded ballots in Florida. The common wisdom is that ballots are
rigged against poor minorities. A less correct approach is that this
is a sort of IQ task which la griffe du lion shows has the same 1 SD
gap between groups as IQ tests.
La Griffe shows best and
worst voting systems used in Florida by rejection rate
rate / est black rate
0.6%/3% Texas Global Election Systems
5.7%/20% Nebraska Election Systems and Software
z47\clip\2000\12\votenull.txt A Racial Gap in Voided Votes Precinct
Analysis Finds Stark Inequity in Polling Problems
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A52733-2000Dec26.htmlBy
John Mintz and Dan Keating Washington Post Staff Writers Wednesday,
December 27, 2000; Page A01 in Atlanta's Fulton County, which also
uses the old punch-card voting machines, one of every 16 of its
ballots for president was invalidated, while two largely white and
Republican-leaning neighbors using more modern equipment, Cobb and
Gwinnett counties, had a rate of 1 in 200, The Washington Post found.
z47\clip\2000\12\votedisc.txt Blacks' votes were discarded at higher
rates, analysis shows BY ANDRES VIGLUCCI, GEOFF DOUGHERTY AND WILLIAM
YARDLEY aviglucci@herald.com In nearly all of Florida's
majority-black precincts, presidential ballots were invalidated at
higher rates than in mostly white neighborhoods in the Nov. 7
election, a Herald analysis of the state's uncounted ballots shows.
Discard rates for all groups, including blacks, were minimal in
precincts where electronic machines scan fill-in-the-oval ballots and
immediately alert voters to botched ballots so they can correct them.
@@Education
More education is generally more conservative except it becomes more
liberal again for post-graduate degrees.
The New Times Portrait of the Electorate is on their WEB site.
The URL is: http://search.nytimes.com/web/docsroot/library/politics/elect-port.html
my copy is at \clip\97\02\nytvote\nytvote.htm
%Voted for Clinton By Education in 1996
Preference is lowest at college graduate, goes up again at post
graduate (indicating college bias towards liberalism is at the post
grad level, otherwise, more education is more conservative)
59 ****** Not High School Graduate
51 ***** High School Graduate
48 ***** Some College
44 **** College Graduate ------Lowest
52 ***** Post Graduate
47 ***** College Grad or Post
@@First time voter
In the San Francisco Bay Area, 18.3% of APA voters said they were
first-time voters, 3 times the typical rate. A Taste of Political
Power Asian Week Aug 9, 1996 p. 18
@@fraud
\doc\web\97\02\votefrau.txt 4 February 1997 Raoul Lowery Contreras
sdraoul@aol.com Subj: Immigrant vote fraud THE AMERICAN TRADITION OF
STEALING ELECTIONS by RAOUL LOWERY CONTRERAS (contrares falls on the
side of prosecuting those who led mostly Mexicans who were not yet
citizens to vote in a contested election)
@@gap
\doc\95\11\gendgap.txt
"Gender gap is real, but not the only gap at the
voting booth" Seattle Post Intelligencer Aug 25, 1995 A3
National Women's Political Caucus found in 1994
elections voting Democratic:
women 53 men 42 gap = 11
single 54.4 married 41.9 gap = 12.5
born-again Christian 29.5 "other" religion 50.5 gap=21
urban 72.2 rural 43.3 gap=28.9
white 42 blacks 91.7 gap=49.7
The gender gap was much smaller than other "gaps"
@@geography
The East is the most liberal, the South is the most
conservative, the West and Midwest are about equal to
national average.
file:///C|/clip/97/02/nytvote/elect-port-economic.html
New York Times Portrait
% Vote for Dole (R) in 1996
=======================
34 East
40 West
41 Midwest
41 Total US
46 South
@@income
Vote becomes more Republican with higher incomes
/clip/97/02/nytvote/elect-port-economic.html
New York Times Portrait
% of 1996 Vote by income for Dole
=================================
28 <$15,000
30 Union
36 $15,000-29,999
40 $30,000-49,999
41 Total
48 $50,000 +
51 $75,000 +
54 $100,000 +
@@National
ASIANS LEAN DEMOCRAT 56 TO 40
\doc\web\2010\11\exitpoll2010.xls
Blacks are the most Democratic, followed by liberals, non-whites,
gay/LGBT, hispanics, liberal and no-religions.
Most republican are tea party supporters, conservatives, evangelical
and white protestants.
Data from:
http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/results/house/exit-polls
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2010/results/polls/#USH00p1
Analysis by Arthur Hu 2010
Asians rank 11th out of 33 groups 56/40. Whites rank 5th most
New York Times Nov 2010 Exit Polls ranked by Democratic suppor
Source: N=New York Times C=CNN
src Demo Repub Change
Black n 90% 9% 7%
Liberal n 80% 8% -4%
Non-whites (22%) c 75% 23%
Gay/LGBT (CNN) c 68% 31% 0%
Hispanic n 65% 33% 8%
White - Other Religion c 65% 34%
White - No Religion (9%) c 63% 36%
Not a high school graduate n 60% 36% 14%
Union in household (CNN) c 60% 38% 0%
Less than $30,000 n 57% 40% 19%
Asian n 56% 40% 18%
Asian (1%) C 56% 40%
18-29 n 56% 40% 14%
Post graduate n 52% 46% 8%
$30,000 to $49,999 n 51% 46% 13%
Women n 49% 48% 13%
First-time voter n 49% 45% 0%
30-44 n 47% 50% 13%
High school graduate n 46% 52% 18%
45-64* n 46% 52% 10%
Moderate n 45% 42% 10%
Some college education n 44% 53% 17%
More than $50,000 n 43% 55% 14%
Men n 42% 55% 19%
College graduate n 42% 56% 16%
65 and older* n 40% 58% 22%
More than $100,000 n 40% 58% 16%
White Catholic (19%) c 39% 59%
Weekly religious services c 39% 60%
White n 38% 60% 14%
White Protestant (44%) c 29% 69%
Evangelical Born-Again c 20% 78%
Conservative n 14% 84% 16%
Tea Party Support n 11% 86% 0%
Data: New York Times exit polls 1992-2010
Asians evolve towards Democrats since 1992
1992 1994 1996
White 50% 42% 45%
Asian 49% 54% 43%
Diff -1% 12% -2%
1998 2000 2002 2008 2010
White 43% 44% 40% 46% 38%
Asian 56% 59% 66% 67% 56%
Diff 13% 15% 26% 21% 18%
2010.
Asians about = to white in 1992 (within 1%), up 15-25% 1998 to 2010
Asians in 2010 slightly democratic 56% to 40% , vs blacks 90% hispanic 65% democratic
@@Noncitizen
Almost anywhere in the usa you must be a citizen to vote, but this is
the #1 reason for low voting rates among immigrant groups. If
immigrants are governed as much as the next guy should't they have
some say too?
\CLIP\98\16\NONCIT.TXT Mass. town considers granting vote to
non-citizens By Jeff Donn October 21, 1998 AMHERST, Mass. (AP) - This
college town is considering whether to celebrate its social diversity
further by granting local voting rights to foreigners who are legal
residents of Amherst.
@@Party
Youth, Indians and Japanese tend to be Democratic, older Asians,
Chinese, Vietnamese tend to be Republican
Summary:
doc\web\97\07\aspol.wk1
Asian Politics Poll Results
Analysis by Arthur Hu 1997
Political Party Identification / Affliation
Sorted by Republican Ratio
Strong Strong Demo Repub Ratio
Ethnic Democrat Democrat RepublicaRepublicaIndependeOther Total Total
Others 1.1% 16.1% 9.70% 46.2% 17.2% 9.7% 17.2% 55.90% 0.31
Korean 30.4% 7.60% 41.8% 19.0% 1.3% 30.4% 49.40% 0.62
Chinese 2.1% 26.9% 9.00% 27.7% 27.7% 5.8% 29.0% 36.70% 0.79
Vietnamese 1.8% 35.5% 19.10% 24.5% 19.1% 37.3% 43.60% 0.86
All 3.4% 31.1% 9.40% 28.7% 23.8% 3.6% 34.5% 38.10% 0.91
Japanese 7.1% 35.0% 7.70% 25.1% 24.6% 0.5% 42.1% 32.80% 1.28
Filipino 8.1% 35.8% 8.30% 23.3% 22.5% 1.7% 43.9% 31.60% 1.39
Asian India 3.8% 52.5% 23.8% 20.0% 56.3% 23.80% 2.37
Source: Republican National Commmitee Aug 1992 survey of 5,000 Asian
American adults in California drawn from Asian organizations and
surname databbase of voters, 1,149 completed questionaires from table
in Statistical Record of Asian Americans table 41 (1993 Gale Research)
Summary: Japanese, Filipinos and Asian Indians identify with the
Democratic Party Koreans, Chinese and Vietnamese are the strongest
Republicans
Political Leaning
Ranked by Conservative
Very Somewhat Middle Somewhat Very Cons per
ConservatConservative liberal liberal Liberal
Korean 36.7% 22.8% 22.8% 17.7% 3.36
Japanese 15.3% 35.0% 31.1% 13.1% 3.8% 2.98
Chinese 9.5% 36.1% 30.2% 19.0% 5.8% 1.84
All 12.0% 30.6% 30.7% 20.6% 5.5% 1.63
Others 10.8% 31.2% 23.7% 28.0% 5.4% 1.26
Filipino 11.7% 20.0% 38.3% 19.2% 10.8% 1.06
Vietnamese 10.0% 28.2% 23.6% 32.7% 5.5% 1.00
Asian Indian 20.0% 47.5% 27.5% 5.0% 0.62
Only Asian Indians consider themselves more liberal than conservative. Vietnamese are
equal, despite Republican leaning, Japanese are 2nd most conservative, but among most
Democratic.
Source: Republican National Commitee 1992 survey of Asian American adults in
California as cited by Statistical Record of Asian Americans table 48 (Gayle Research 1993)
1988 Presidential Election
Source: Republican National Commitee 1992 survey of Asian American
Ranked by Calif Preference for Bush/ Republican President in 1988
Not Vote Bush(R) Dukakis(DR/D
Others 37.6% 58.1% 4.3% 13.51
Japanese 16.9% 56.3% 26.8% 2.10
Vietnamese 30.0% 47.3% 22.7% 2.08
Korean 38.0% 41.8% 20.3% 2.06
Chinese 21.1% 52.7% 26.2% 2.01
All 23.2% 50.7% 26.2% 1.94
Filipino 15.8% 55.0% 29.2% 1.88
Asian India 20.0% 23.8% 56.3% 0.42
Summary: Only Asian Indians favored Dukakis, even Japanese favored
Bush.
Source: National Republican Commitee Survey of Asian American adults
in California in 1992 as cited by Statistical Record of Asian
Americans table 49 (Gayle Research 1993).
\clip\97\02\nytvote\nytvote.htm The New York Times Portrait of the
Percent of 1996 US Electorate by party identity
Repub Inde Demo All
White 32 23 29 84
Black 1 2 7 10
Percent of race
Repub Inde Demo
White 38.0% 27.3% 34.5%
Black 10.0% 20.0% 70.0%
Ratio
Repub Inde Demo
-3.8 -1.3 2.0
\doc\96\07\asiapart.wk1
Asian Voter Party Identification, San Francisco Bay Area 1996
All Asian
County Demo Repub Decline Demo Repub Decline
Contra Costa 49.5% 34.4% 9.2% 49.9% 35.9% 16.4%
Alameda 59.3% 21.9% 14.7% 43.9% 26.6% 27.7%
San Francisco 63.9% 17.7% 18.3% 43.0% 20.0% 33.0%
Index
County Demo Repub Decline
Contra Costa 1.008 1.044 1.783
Alameda -1.351 1.215 1.884
San Francisco -1.486 1.130 1.803
Summer 1996 Analysis by Chinese American Voters Education Committee
"Asian - Born Voters Gain New Clout" Asian Week Nov 1 1996 p. 12
@@Poll
ASIANS VOTED FOR MATT FONG IN 98
\doc\web\98\09\avote.txt
@@president
National polls generally indicate that Asians are more conservative
than the population in general, but Asians in California, Hawaii, and
urban centers like San Francisco and New York City appear to be
liberal overall, and more liberal than the national population.
Asians had favored republicans for president until the 2001 Gore /
Bush race. Bush Kerry appears to indicate Asians now decisively
democratic.
Summary Spectrum
Relative to White 2.00 = twice Democratic
----------------------------------------------------------
'96 ABC News HI Asian W1.00 A 2.21 (1)
'96 ABC News CA Asian W1.00 A 1.31 (1)
'00 Gore CNN W1.00 B2.14 H1.48 A 1.31
'96 CNN US W1.00 B7.49 H3.67 A-1.04 J5.24
'88 ABC News W1.00 B5.0 H1.6 A-1.1 J1.6
'96 ABC News US Asian W1.00 B7.32 H3.33 A-1.14
----------------------------------------------------------
(1) White is equal to national white rate.
%%2008
ASIANS FAVOR OBAMA BY 2 TO 1, BUT NOT 90%
http://www.asianweek.com/2008/10/07/daily-dose-for-10708/#more-8701
Comprehensive New Survey Shows Asian Americans Could Play Key Role in
Presidential Election
This groundbreaking study, released at a Washington, D.C., press
conference this morning, was conducted by researchers from four
leading universities: Rutgers, the State University of New Jersey;
University of California, Berkeley (UC Berkeley); University of
California, Riverside (UC Riverside); and University of Southern
California (USC).
The researchers’ 2008 National Asian American Survey (NAAS) shows that
41 percent of Asian Americans are likely to favor Obama, while 24
percent support John McCain. In battleground states, where either
candidate could win on Election Day, Obama leads with 43 percent of
Asian Americans supporting him and 22 percent favoring McCain.
Researchers point out that a key finding of the study is the high
proportion of undecided Asian American likely voters: 34 percent (vs
8 general)
%%2000 Race
ASIANS EMBRACED DEMOS, KERRY 75-90% IN 2004
\clip\2005\05\avote04.txt
http://www.vdare.com/sailer/050522_asian.htm
Asian "Natural Republicans" Vote Heavily Democratic -- Any More Bright Ideas?
By Steve Sailer
May 22, 2005
"massive multilingual Presidential election exit poll conducted last
November in eight languages of almost 11,000 Asian voters, 82 percent
of them immigrants, have finally been released by the liberal Asian
American Legal Defense and Education Fund. Among these Asian voters,
Kerry drubbed Bush 74-24." "And the future looks even worse. Among
first-time voters in the AALDEF poll, Kerry won 78-20. Among
American-born Asians, who are presumably more assimilated, Kerry was
victorious 80-18. Among 18 to 29-year-old Asians, Kerry won 84-14."
"among South Asians, Kerry clobbered Bush -- 90-9! "
z51\clip\2001\09\aspol.txt
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/01_37/b3748045.htm
SEPTEMBER 10, 2001 Pols Are Salivating Over Asian Americans "While
Asians have favored Republicans in Presidential elections, last year
they cast their ballots for former Vice-President Gore over Bush by
55% to 41%."
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2000/results/index.epolls.html
z46\clipim\2000\11\08\cnn2000.htm
z46\doc\web\2000\11\cnnpoll.wk1
\doc\web\2000\11\cnnpoll.wk1
CNN 2000 exit poll by race
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2000/results/index.epolls.html 11/8/200
Vote by G All Gore Bush Buchanan Nader
(read do(read across)
Men 48% 42% 53% 0% 3%
Women 52% 54% 43% 0% 2%
Race by S All Gore Bush Buchanan Nader
White Mal 48% 36% 60% 0% 3%
White Fem 52% 48% 49% 0% 2%
Vote by R All Gore Bush Buchanan Nader
White 81% 42% 54% 0% 3%
AfAm 10% 90% 9% 0% 1%
Hispanic 7% 62% 35% 1% 2%
Asian 2% 55% 41% 1% 3%
Other 1% 55% 39% 0% 4%
Index
White 81% 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00
AfAm 10% 2.14 -6.00 0.00 -3.00
Hispanic 7% 1.48 -1.54 0.00 -1.50
Asian 2% 1.31 -1.32 0.00 1.00
Other 1% 1.31 -1.38 0.00 1.33
Spectrum
Summary:
2000 is an exception to the rule that Asians favor republicans, in
2000 they favored Gore, and by 31% more than whites. This may mean
that Wu's 80-20 initiative may have had an effect. Bush's push for
diversity did not highlight Asians.
'00 Gore CNN W1.00 B2.14 H1.48 A1.31
Gays are just after blacks, democrats, liberals and jews in Gore
support. They are also no more numerous as voters than Jews, which
would put them at 2% of the general population.
z46\clipim\2000\11\09\abc2000\abc2000.htm
z46\doc\web\2000\11\abcrank.wk1
ABC 2000 Exit Poll Ranked by Republican
Rank by Republican All Gore Bush BuchananNader
Republican 35 8 91 0 1
Dole (Rep) 31 7 91 0 1
Conservative 29 17 81 0 1
Religious Right 14 18 80 1 1
Taxes 14 17 80 0 2
Abortion Illegal in all cases 13 22 74 2 1
NoGunCon 36 23 74 0 2
Business 53 25 71 1 2
Cut taxes 26 27 71 0 1
Perot (Ref) 6 27 64 1 7
Relg More than once a week 14 36 63 0 1
Gun ownder 48 36 61 0 2
Protestant/Christian 54 42 56 0 2
White 81 42 54 0 3
$100,000 or more 15 43 54 0 2
Upper middle class 27 43 54 0 3
Male 48 42 53 0 3
Married 65 44 53 1 2
$75,000-$99,999 13 45 52 0 2
Child18 39 45 52 0 2
Some college or associate deg 32 45 51 0 3
College graduate 24 45 51 0 3
$50,000-$74,999 25 46 51 0 2
High school graduate 21 48 49 1 1
Middle class 46 48 49 0 2
Rank by Democratic All Gore Bush BuchananNader
Black 10 90 9 0 1
Democrat 39 86 11 0 2
Clinton (Dem) 46 82 15 1 2
Liberal 20 80 13 1 6
Jewish 4 79 19 0 1
Govt do more to solve problems 43 74 23 0 3
Gay 4 70 25 0 4
Abortion legal in all cases 23 70 25 0 4
Health care 8 64 33 0 3
Hispanic/Latino 7 62 35 1 2
Union 16 62 34 1 3
Guncontrol 60 62 34 0 3
Finbetter 50 61 36 0 2
Relig Never 14 61 32 1 6
Did not complete high school 5 59 39 1 1
Economy/Jobs 18 59 37 0 2
Protecting the environment 46 59 36 1 4
Social Security 14 58 40 1 1
Strengthen Social Security 23 58 40 0 1
NoGun 52 58 39 0 3
Improve education 30 58 37 0 4
NotMarried 35 57 38 0 4
Under $15,000 7 57 37 1 4
Upper class 4 56 39 0 3
Asian 2 55 41 1 3
Female 52 54 43 0 2
Relig Few times a year 28 54 42 0 3
NotRelRight 83 54 42 0 3
$15,000-$29,999 16 54 41 1 3
60+ 22 51 47 0 2
Working class 18 51 46 0 3
Catholic 26 50 47 1 2
High school graduate 21 48 49 1 1
Middle class 46 48 49 0 2
http://www.asianamericanartistry.com/poll-politics.html
Web poll
71% Bush
16% Gore
2% Nader
554 votes
CA Exit Poll
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2000/results/CA/frameset.exclude.html
z46\clipim\2000\11\09\cnnca\cnnca.htm
tot gor bus nad
W 71 47 48 4
B 7 86 11 2
H 14 68 29 3
A 6 48 47 4
O 2
Asian votes nearly equal to black, twice as many hispanic
URBAN CA ASIANS FAVORED GORE
From 80-29 initiative site 11/9/00
(A) Northern California:
The SF poll was done by Chinese American Voters Education Committee
(CAVEC) that has done polling in SF for many years. Help with ethnic
language is available during polling in contrast to mainstream media
polling.
Sample size: 1,247; Chinese American = 192
Voting Gore/Bush/Others = 80%/18%/2%
Aware of 80-20: 41%
(B) Southern California:
The LA poll was done by Asian Am. Legal Center that also has done
polling in LA for a few years. Help with ethnic language is available
during polling.
Sample size: 5000; Asian Pacific Americans = 2000
Voting Gore/Bush/Others = 62.6%/34.7%/3%
Aware of 80-20: 24%
ASIANS SWITCHED TO GORE IN 2000
z46\clip\2000\11\asgore.txt Friday, November 10, 2000
http://www.latimes.com/news/state/20001110/t000107819.html Asian
Americans Lean to Democrats, Poll Says Politics: A group that in the
past has scattered its votes on many ballot lines voted heavily for
Gore on Tuesday. By K. CONNIE KANG, Times Staff Writer an exit poll
released Thursday by the Asian Pacific American Legal Center. The
survey of 5,000 voters--2,000 of them Asian Americans--conducted in
heavily Asian neighborhoods, showed Vice President Al Gore received
62.3% of the votes cast by Asian Americans, while Gov. George W. Bush
garnered 34.7%... almost 17% of Asian Republicans in Los Angeles and
Orange counties crossed over
z46\clip\2000\11\bushhisp.txt Even Bush can't lure Hispanics to GOP
Wednesday, 8 November 2000 7:55 (ET) Even Bush can't lure Hispanics
to GOP By STEVE SAILER, UPI National Correspondent According to exit
polls reported by CNN and ABC, Hispanics went for Gore 62 percent to
35 percent over Bush. CBS reported Gore trounced Bush even more
dramatically among Latinos: 66 percent to 29 percent. In contrast,
Bush won easily among non-Hispanic whites: 54 percent to 42 percent.
ASIANS ARE MOVING LEFT TOWARDS DEMOCRATS
z46\clip\2000\11\sailasia.txt UPI article. Nov 14, 2000 Asian
Americans are moving to the left By STEVE SAILER UPI National
Correspondent LOS ANGELES, Calif. Nov. 12 (UPI) -- Despite the Bush
campaign's emphasis upon "diversity" and "inclusion," Republicans
lost badly among the fast-growing Asian American community in the
2000 elections. The Los Angeles Times national exit poll found Gore
beating Bush 62% to 37% among Asians. The Voter News Service exit
poll showed a narrower but still resounding margin for Gore of 55% to
41%.
ONLY NORTH/CENTRAL EUROPEAN AMS FAVORED BUSH
z46\clip\2000\11\ethgap.txt Tue Nov 14 Richard McCulloch [shows that
most ethnic and race groups favored Gore]...Northern and Central
Europeans (NCEs) gave Bush 67% of their vote, it is a matter that
should be extensively discussed and examined.
z46\clip\2000\11\nyvote.txt Newsday 11/10/2000 - Friday - Page A 66
Asians Go for Democrats City residents overwhelmingly choose Gore,
Hillary by Mae M. Cheng Staff Writer 78 percent [of Asians surveyed
in NYC] said they cast their ballots in favor of Vice President Al
Gore, said Margaret Fung, the executive director of the Asian
American Legal Defense and Education Fund, which conducted the poll.
About 20 percent said they voted for Gov. George W. Bush.
Asian-Americans in California, meanwhile, voted marginally in favor
of Bush. About 48 percent of the Asian-Americans there voted for
Bush, with another 47 percent casting their ballots for Gore,
according to CNN. In Boston, the Chinese Progressive Association, in
conjunction with the Asian-American studies program at the University
of Massachusetts, surveyed 217 voters at the local Chinatown voting
site. 83/5 Gore/Bush
8020 says they've tipped Asians over
to Gore
nyvote.wk1 exit poll
NY Times exit poll
Asian Votes
Dem GOP Third DemRate Points
2000 55 41 4 1.34 14
1996 43 48 8 0.90 -5
1992 31 55 15 0.56 -24
As shown by 80-20 initiative email 11/2000
ASIANS ARE STARTING TO VOTE LIKE JEWS - INCOME EDUCATION LIBERALS
http://www.vdare.com/asian_vote.htm z46\clip\2000\11\derbvote.txt The
Asian Vote 2000 By John Derbyshire The Los Angeles Times national
exit poll found Gore beating Bush 62% to 37% among all Asians. The
Voter News Service exit poll showed a narrower margin for Gore of 55%
to 41%, but this is regarded as a less accurate poll. Also in
California, Asians voted 64% to 33% for Senator Diane Feinstein over
Republican Tom Campbell. Nationwide results were similar. The trend
is leftward, towards a "Jewish" model - that is, a subset of the
population with above-average incomes and education none the less
voting heavily Democratic.
MOST CHINESE ARE DEMOCRATS, BUT LESS SO THAN WHITES IN SF
San Francisco Bay Area Trends Asian Week Nov 16, 2000 p. 12
Binder /CAVEC exit poll found
Dem Rep Ind
Chinese Am 52 17 30
Overall SF 66 10 18
LA ASIANS TURN FROM MOSTLY GOP TO MOSTLY DEMOCRAT 1996-2000
Los Angeles, Orange County: Southern California's API Republicans
crossing over.
LA Times statewide exit poll 63 Gore vs 33 Bush Asians
AsianPacAmLegalCenter APALC S.Cal 62.3 Gore 34.7 Bush
Dem Rep None
48.4 29.7 19.5 2000 More democrats
35.7 40.2 24.1 1996 More republicans
+4% democratic over past 8 months in 2000
16.5% of API republicans voted for Gore
Emil Amok Nov 16, 2000 - says there was a landslide at least among
persons of color.
California
86/11 Black
67/28 Hispanic
48/47 Asian
z47\clip\2000\12\racevote.txt
The Structure of White Power and the Color of Election 2000
By Bob Wing, executive editor, ColorLines magazine and ww.colorlines.com
December 7, 2000
What if there was an election, and nobody won?
Conventional electoral wisdom discounts race as a political factor,
focusing instead on class, the gender gap, union membership, etc. But,
the only demographic groups that had a fairly unified vote-defined as 60
percent or more for one of the candidates-were: blacks, Latinos, Jews
(81 percent for Gore), union members (62 percent for Gore), residents of
large cities (71 percent for Gore), and white males (60 percent for
Bush). All but union members and big-city residents are racial or ethnic
groups.
REPUBLICANS FAIL TO GET MINORITIES, THEY NEED TO SOLIDIFY WHITE BASE?
z47\clipim\2000\12\27\racevote\racevote.htm It's Race, Stupid by
Samuel Francis American Renaissance Jan 2001 Every racial group
backed the democrats solidly except whites, so strategy to attract
minorities failed, they really failed to attract enough whites to win
decisively.
Migrant News Jan 2001: Detailed analysis of exit polls suggest that
Hispanics voted 62 to 35 percent for Democrat Al Gore over Republican
George Bush. All Hispanic groups except Cuban-Americans (79 percent
for Bush) cast most of their votes for Gore: Mexican-Americans (69
percent for Gore); Puerto Ricans (71 percent); Central Americans (74
percent); and South Americans (69 percent).
Oct 28-Nov 3 2000 Northwest Asian Weekly has all democratic
candidates endorsed, plus Terry Bergeson
z47\clip\2001\01\gwblak.htm Why Do Blacks Hate Dubya? By Steve
Sailer Theorizes that appearing to favor Hispanic immigrants
alienated blacks, and Bush would have gained more with a minor
improvement in white vote compared to major black change.
z47\clipim\2001\01\22\elec2000\elec2000.htm
http://www.lagriffedulion.f2s.com/elec2000.htm La Griffe du Lion
Volume 3 Number 1 January 2001 THE CASE OF THE UNCOUNTED BALLOTS
Using differential rates of valid votes to map into known congitive
distributions, he concludes. Sequoia Pacific System punch-card system
would disqualify more than 25 percent of blacks and 5 percent of
whites. "An 11.7 percent error rate for blacks caused 105,000
presidential votes to go uncounted. The white error rate of 1.4
percent resulted in a loss of 75,000 ballots. Had there been no voter
error, with all voters recording their true intent, Gore would have
picked up a net of 77,000 votes, enough to defeat Bush handily in
Florida, and award him the presidency."
z48\clip\2001\02\nader.txt Monday, 5 February 2001 21:35 (ET)
Analysis: Revival of the left -- part 3 By STEVE SAILER and JAMES
CHAPIN, UPI National Correspondents
http://www.vny.com/cf/news/upidetail.cfm?QID=157698 Nader's voters
were 58 percent male, 88 percent white, 33 percent under 29 (as
compared to 17 percent of all voters), 52 percent unmarried (as
against 35 percent of all voters); and 39 percent (as compared to 15
percent of all voters) practiced non-Judeo-Christian religions or
none at all. Only 1 percent of all Jews voted for Nader, according
to the Voter News Service exit poll. Further, even though Jews cast 4
percent of all votes, Nader drew just 1 percent of his support from
Jews.
%%1996 Race
ASIANS ONLY RACE THAT FAVORED DOLE(R) IN 1996 IN VNS POLL
Source: Voter News Service from chart in Investor's Business Daily
Aug 22, 1997
Ethnic vote in 1996 US Presidential Race
GOP Democrat
Asian 45 42
White 42 44
Hispanic 21 70
Black 10 84
(Approx from chart)
The New Times Portrait of the Electorate is on their WEB site.
The URL is: http://search.nytimes.com/web/docsroot/library/politics/elect-port.html
my copy is at \clip\97\02\nytvote\nytvote.htm
\clip\96\08\voter96.txt 1996 Voters At a Glance By The Associated
Press Wednesday, November 6, 1996 3:36 am EST
The Voter News Service survey of 16,338 participants had a three
percentage point margin of error. VNS is a collaboration of The
Associated Press and the ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN and FOX television
networks.
-RACE:
83% White
10% Black
5% Hispanic
1% Asian
24% Union
38% Protestant
29% Catholic
17% Other Christian
3% Jewish
8% No Religion
16% Religious right
93% born in the US
5% gay/les/bisexual
37% Gun Owner
ASIANS MORE LIBERAL IN NEW YORK CITY PRESIDENTIAL 1996 OCA POLL
Nov 7, 1996 Asian American Legal Defense and Education Fund
212-966-5932
* 71% of Asian Americans supported President Bill Clinton,
favoring his re-election by a wide margin, with 21% for Bob
Dole, and 2% for Ross Perot.
* Citywide, 59% of all New Yorkers voted for Clinton, with
31% for Dole and 8% for Perot. The poll indicates that
Asian American voters in New York City, consistent with a
national trend, supported incumbent candidates and did not
believe a change in leadership was needed.
Clin Dole Perot
Asian 71 21 2
Citywide 59 31 8
--------------------------
Ratio 1.20 0.67
Combined 1.79
reference: \doc\96\07\ocapoll.txt
CNN/Time All Politics
url: http://allpolitics.com/elections/natl.exit.poll/index1.html
local: \clip\96\08\allpexit.htm
Electoral Vote: Clinton 379, Dole 159
Popular Vote: Clinton 49%, Dole 41%, Perot 8%, Nader 1%, Browne 1%
Race Index: W1.00 B7.49 H3.67 A-1.04
Vote By Race All Cl Dol Per Cli Dol Per C/D Index
White 83 43 46 9 73 93 90 0.93 1.00
African-Americans 10 84 12 4 17 3 4 7.00 7.49
Hispanics 5 72 21 6 7 2 3 3.43 3.67
Asians 1 43 48 8 1 1 1 0.90 -1.04
Other 1 64 21 9 2 1 1 3.05 3.26
ReligJewish 3 78 16 3 6 1 1 4.87 5.24
1996 Presidential Election Results Sorted By Clinton Preference
Horiz % Vert %
Group All ClintoDole Perot ClintoDole Perot
Clinton 43 85 9 4 75 10 22
PartyDemocrat 39 84 10 5 68 10 23
Race African-Americans 10 84 12 4 17 3 4
IdeolLiberal 20 78 11 7 31 5 17
WrelgJewish 4 78 16 3 7 1 1
ReligJewish 3 78 16 3 6 1 1
Race Hispanics 5 72 21 6 7 2 3
Race Other 1 64 21 9 2 1 1
ReligOther Religion 6 60 23 11 7 3 7
ReligNone 7 59 23 13 9 4 11
IncomLess Than $15,000 11 59 28 11 14 8 14
No High School 6 59 28 11 8 4 8
IdeolModerate 47 57 33 9 55 37 51
WrelgNo Religion 7 56 26 14 9 4 10
Not Wh Rel Right 80 54 35 9 88 69 81
Women 52 54 38 7 58 48 43
Didn't Vote 9 53 33 11 9 7 11
Age 18-29 17 53 34 10 18 14 21
Incom$15-30,000 23 53 36 9 25 20 24
ReligCatholic 29 53 37 9 31 27 27
Ed Post-Graduate 17 52 40 5 18 18 10
WrelgOther Religion 5 51 29 13 5 3 6
HS Graduate 24 51 35 13 25 21 32
No CoDegree 57 51 37 11 59 53 69
Age 65 and Older 16 50 43 6 16 17 12
Age 18-64 84 49 40 9 84 83 88
Total US 49 41 8
Incom$30-50,000 27 48 40 10 27 27 31
Ed Some College 27 48 40 10 27 27 29
Age 30-44 33 48 41 9 32 33 34
WrelgCatholic 29 48 41 10 32 26 28
Age 45-59 26 48 41 9 26 27 27
WhiteWomen 52 48 43 8 58 49 43
Age Over 60 24 48 44 7 23 25 19
Coll Graduates 43 47 44 7 41 47 31
Incom$50-75,000 21 47 45 7 20 23 17
ReligOther Christian 16 45 41 12 15 17 21
Ed College Graduate 26 44 46 8 23 30 21
Incom$75-100,000 9 44 48 7 8 10 7
PartyIndependent 26 43 35 17 23 22 53
Men 48 43 44 10 42 52 57
Race White 83 43 46 9 73 93 90
Race Asians 1 43 48 8 1 1 1
ReligProtestant 38 41 50 8 32 47 33
WhiteMen 48 38 49 11 42 51 57
IncomOver $100,000 9 38 54 6 7 12 7
WrelgProtestant 56 36 53 10 46 65 55
Wh Rel Right 17 26 65 8 9 27 15
Perot 12 22 44 33 6 13 48
IdeolConservative 33 20 71 8 14 57 32
PartyRepublican 35 13 80 6 9 68 24
Bush 35 13 82 4 10 69 18
ASIANS MOST CONSERVATIVE IN 1996 PRESIDENTIAL ABC POLL
url: http://www.politicsnow.com/?13,17
local: \clip\96\08\exitpoll.txt
\clip\96\08\exitpoll.htm
\doc\96\07\pres96.wk1
ABC News Exit Poll results
Rankings by Arthur Hu
United States except as noted
(Asians from CA and Hawaii)
Ratio
ClintDole PerotC/D Index
Black 84 12 4 7.00 7.32
Jewish 80 16 3 5.00 5.23
GayLB 67 18 10 3.72 3.89
Hisp/L 70 22 6 3.18 3.33
OtherRe 62 25 7 2.48 2.59
NoRelg 57 26 13 2.19 2.29
HawaiiAs 64 30 4 2.13 2.21
Women 54 38 7 1.42 1.49
Cath 53 38 8 1.39 1.46
CA Asian 53 42 4 1.26 1.31
OthChri 49 38 12 1.29 1.35
USBorn 48 42 7 1.14 1.19
NotUSB 48 48 3 1.00 1.05
NotGay 47 44 7 1.07 1.12
Men 44 45 9 0.98 1.02
White 44 46 8 0.96 1.00
Asian 41 49 9 0.84-1.14
Prot 41 50 8 0.82-1.17
Group Percent Index
White 84% 1.00
Black 10% -1.23
Hispanic 5% -2.46
Asian 1% -3.91
Asians slightly more liberal than whites in California, much more so
in Hawaii, but more conservative nationally
\doc\95\10\ethpres.wk1 - 1988 Presidential Vote by Ethnicity
1988 President W1.0 B-5.0 H-1.6 A1.1 Jew -1.6 (white = Italian)
1988 ABC NEWS Election Day Exit Poll Table
Assembled from ethnic, religion & race questions
N= about 30,000 voters randomly selected nationwide
Ranked by percent republican
Democrat Republican
% All Dukakis Bush
Other & blanks 4 na na Index
Eng/Scot/Welsh 27 34 65
Irish Prot 4 34 65
German 21 38 61
French 3 40 59
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Asian 1 42 57 1.1
Scandanavia 4 43 55
Write-in 5 43 55
Italian 6 46 53 1.0
Irish Catholic 5 50 50
Polish/Slavic 5 50 49
Greek 1 55 45
Hispanic 2 66 33 -1.6
Jewish 4 69 30 -1.6
Black 8 88 10 -5.0
Note that Jews are double their 2% population, which indicates
that nearly all of them vote, vs about half the general population
Blacks are the most liberal, followed by Jews and Hispanics
Only the English, Irish, Germans and French were more
republican than the Asian Americans
Additional analysis by Arthur Hu
1992 Election
\doc\96\08\clinton1.prn
clinton1.wk1
Support for Clinton in California 1992
W1.00 B7.68 H2.45 A?.??
Category Clinton Bush Clin/Bush Undecided Index
Demo 77% 7% 1100% 7.00
Black 83% 8% 1038% 19.00 7.68
Other Reli 67% 16% 419% 22.00
Other Part 52% 14% 371% 9.00
Hispanic 63% 19% 332% 18.00
No Relig 66% 20% 330% 23.00
'18-29 54% 19% 284% 12.00
N Cal 59% 22% 268% 3.00
'40-49 58% 24% 242% 14.00
Post-Grad 63% 27% 233% 27.00
Urban 56% 27% 207% 4.00
'30-39 51% 28% 182% 13.00
College Gr 52% 30% 173% 26.00
Suburb 50% 29% 172% 5.00
Men 47% 28% 168% 10.00
Catholic 48% 29% 166% 21.00
Women 51% 31% 165% 11.00
State 49% 30% 163% 1.00
Some Coll 46% 30% 153% 25.00
'50-59 47% 32% 147% 15.00
HS Grad or 43% 31% 139% 24.00
White 45% 33% 136% 17.00 1.00
South Cal 43% 36% 119% 2.00
Protest 39% 38% 103% 20.00
rural 36% 38% 95% 6.00
'60+ 37% 44% 84% 16.00
Repub 18% 58% 31% 8.00
Field poll Sept 8-15 in California Margin of error +/- 4 points
More education, younger, minority,urban, Northern Cal, no religion, Jewish
Bush - rural, white, protestant, older - only rural, 60+ and Republicans
SJ Mercury 9-18-92
More educated = more liberal
\doc\doc924\clinton1.wk1 Clinton/Bush exit poll California
@@race
Once upon a time, whites wouldn't vote for a minority candidate, but
lately, the only people who care about race are the ones who favor
minorities, at least in Washington.
http://www.seattletimes.com/extra/browse/html/poll_091896.html
\clip\96\04\polllock.txt The Seattle Times Company Sept. 18, 1996
Seattle Times Washington Poll shows strong Locke support Craswell
would need to broaden base to win state, results indicate
-- One-fourth of the poll participants said their candidate's ethnic
background was a critical or important consideration. Rice was the
largest vote-getter with that group. Comment - now it's the left, not
the right that makes race of the candidate a crucial issue, and
blacks, not whites are favored, the top 2 vote getters were Asian and
black in a state nearly 90% whites.
@@Rate
http://www.arthurhu.com/index/avote.htm#voterate
REAL ASIANS DON'T VOTE
Overall, Asians have the lowest rate of registration, about half the
rate of whites or blacks. This is primarily due to low rates of
citizenship, also about half the rate of whites. It's also lower for
citizens but it's much closer. It's within 15% for US born Asians in
California.
Summary Spectrum -
---------------------------------------------------------------
1994 CA US born W1.0 B-1.31 H-1.53 A-1.15
1994 US census citizen W1.0 B-1.28 H-1.47 A-1.25
2000 Boston citizen W1.0 A-1.37
1994 CA For born W1.0 B-1.17 H-1.35 A-1.46
2000 Boston W1.0 A-2.41
1994 US census overall W1.0 B-1.27 H-2.45 A-2.42
1997 Los Angeles W1.0 B-1.74 H-4.64 A-4.05
1996 CA registered W1.0 B 1.00 H-2.63 A-6.66
-----------------------------------------------------------------
%%General
\clip\96\04\asamrall.txt L.A. TIMES Wednesday, September 11, 1996
Asian Americans Rally for Unity. Of the 10 million people of Asian
ancestry in the United States in 1994, only 1.2 million were
registered voters, according to Levin Sy of the Asian Pacific
American Voter Registration Coalition of Southern California--making
it one of the lowest registration rates among ethnic minorities.
ASIANS IN BOSTON REG ABOUT 1/2 OVERALL RATE, 5/7 FOR CITIZENS
Institute for Asian American Studies Fall 2002
Study by Paul Watanabe and Michael Liu U Mass Boston, www.iaas.umb.edu
study of census tabulations using surnames of ten cites and towns around
Boston. Overall voting rate over double that of Asians. Highest overall
rates about 90% in Brookline and Lexington, but 41 and 54.7 for Asians.
Of citizens, 50.5% registered vs 69.5 for all citizens. Estimated 50.3% of
Asians are citizens. In these areas, 56.5% of Asians registered no party
affiliation, 1/3 Democrats, 11% Republicans.
Boston 53.5% 23.5%
Brookline 87.0% 41.0%
Somerville 60.2% 24.8%
Overall 61.4% 25.4%
USA Today Oct 28, 1998
Source: National Election Survey
Race Pop/Voters
White 78.4 82.1
Black 11.4 9.5
Hisp 7.1 5.5
Asian 1.9 1.9 (pop is more like 3.5-3.9)
Other 1.2 1.0
Education
No HS Diploma 12.5 8.7
High School 31.6 27.2
Some College 18.8 22.2
Associate 9.1 9.7
College Grad 18.6 22.2
Post Grad 9.2 12.5
Income
Less 15k 16.5 13.6
15-30 20.9 19.9
30-50 25.6 25.0
50-75 19.7 23.1
75+ 15.3 18.4
\clip\98\18\lagvote.txt Poll finds Asians lag politically By Julie
Chao OF THE EXAMINER STAFF Sunday, December 6, 1998 ©1998 San
Francisco Examiner URL:
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/examiner/hotnews/stories/06/asians06.dtl
Despite gains, City's Asian Americans still vote less, care less than
other groups
Just 17 percent of Asians said they were "very interested" in
politics, compared with 36 percent of whites, 31 percent of
blacks and 22 percent of Latinos.
Asian Americans in the poll were most likely to be foreign-born:
73 percent were immigrants, compared with 55 percent of Latinos
and about 10 percent each of blacks and whites.
"They are most likely to be foreign-born but have higher rates of
citizenship than Latinos: 73 percent of Asians and 55 percent of
Latinos were born abroad, but 76 percent of Asians are citizens,
compared with 61 percent of Latinos.
"Most Americans say they are too busy to vote" Seattle Times
Aug 17, 1998 p. A4. Census Bureau Current Population Survey of
1996 presidential election:
8% absentee
59% native born 53% naturalized citizen
42% Hisp nb 53% Hisp nc
Citizens (note fewer Asians and Hispanics are citizens)
White 61%
Black 53%
Asian 45%
Hisp 44%
aspol.wk1
Asian Politics Poll Results
Analysis by Arthur Hu 1997
Percentage of surveyed Asians who reported they were registered
voters Ranked by Not Registered To Vote
Yes No
Korean 67.1% 32.9%
Others 67.7% 32.3%
Vietnamese 78.2% 21.8%
All 81.8% 18.2%
Asian India 82.5% 17.5%
Chinese 84.3% 15.7%
Filipino 85.8% 14.2%
Japanese 88.0% 12.0%
The most recent immigrants had the lowest voting rates, Koreans and
Vietnamese. Japanese, Chinese and Filipinos had the highest voting
rates
Source: Republican National Commitee 1992 survey of Asian American
adults in California as cited by Statistical Record of Asian
Americans table 49 (Gayle Research 1993)
1988 Presidential Election Ranked by Not Voting Rate 1988 President
Election
Not Vote
Korean 38.0%
Others 37.6%
Vietnamese 30.0%
All 23.2%
Chinese 21.1%
Asian India 20.0%
Japanese 16.9%
Filipino 15.8%
Source: Republican National Commitee 1992 survey of Asian American
adults in California as cited by Statistical Record of Asian
Americans table 49 (Gayle Research 1993) selected from Asian
organizations and lists of registered voters.
HISPANIC VOTE BRINGS BACK RIORDAN TO LA IN DEMOCRATIC CITY
\clip\97\10\riordan.txt New York Times April 10, 1997 L.A. Mayor
Re-Elected as Latino Turnout Sets Record By TODD S. PURDUM Hispanics
are 1/3 of Los Angeles, but only 14% of registered voters, and
normally only 8-10% of actual voters. They were 15% in the Riodan
re-election of 1997, edging out blacks for the 1st time. Blacks are
13% of population but 18% of registered voters.
Los Angeles Times Thursday, April 10, 1997 Latino Turnout a
Breakthrough Election: Group's heavy balloting could signal a
historic pivot point for political relations in L.A. By JIM NEWTON,
MATEA GOLD, Times Staff Writers
Ranked by relative voting rate
group vote pop rate index
white 65 37.3 1.74 1.00
black 13 13.0 1.00 -1.74
asian 4 9.1 0.43 -4.05
hisp 15 39.9 .375 -4.64
other 3
Analysis by Arthur Hu relative to 1990 population (fewer than actual
Hispanic or Asian)
From: SDRAOUL@aol.com
Whites 71% Riordan 26% Hayden 67% for school bonds
Black 19% " 75% " 76% " " "
Latino 60% " 33 % " 82% " " "
ASian 62% " 35% " 63% " " "
(Note Asians are more liberal than whites in this election)
Stats from LA TIMES
Raoul
\clip\97\10\riorda2.txt April 11, 1997 LA HISPANICS VOTE AND THE
EARTH SHAKES by RAOUL LOWERY CONTRERAS NEW YORK TIMES SYNDICATE NEW
AMERICA NEWS SERVICE More statistics showing Hispanic support for
schools and republicans.
\clip\96\09\hispvote.txt Raoul Contrares notes that Hispanics voted
in very low numbers, in contrast to spin of a huge wave of Hispanic
voting. "In one precinct, there were 1302 registered Hispanic voters, yet
only 528 turned out to vote. This 40.5% represents only 15-20% of
the Hispanics who actually live in the precinct."
BLACKS UP FROM 8% IN 1992 TO 10% OF VOTE IN 1996
\PRIV\96B\10\blakturn.txt Voter turnout of black men up
Seattle Times Nov 22, 1996
National Political Congress of black women estimated 1.7 million
more black men voted in 1996 than in 1992, a 53% increase, and
9.3 percent drop among black women, compared to 14.2 down for
white women adn 9.3% down among white men.
Black turnout increased to 10 percent of the vote compared to 8% in
1992. 84% voted for Clinton
\doc\web\96\03\ascit.txt \priv\96\04\ascit.txt (full text) 80% of
Asians eventually become citizens (who have the lowest rates of
welfare use), the highest rate of immigrants. Of registered voters,
in 1994,
76% of Asians
73% of whites
64% of Hispanics
63% of blacks
cast ballots according to study sponsored by UCLA Asian
American Studies Center (AP Mar 96, 1996)
\doc\96\03\asvote94.wk1 - US born Asians vote at nearly
as high a rate as whites.
Voter Registration and Turnout Rates for Asian Americans
and other races, 1994 California
% Registered% Voted Overall VoteIndex
Asian Americans
As US Born 56.0% 78.0% 43.7% -115.3%
As Foreign Bor 49.0% 74.0% 36.3% -146.3%
As Overall 53.0% 76.0% 40.3% -125.0%
Latinos
La US Born 53.0% 62.0% 32.9% -153.3%
La Foreign Bor 53.0% 74.0% 39.2% -135.2%
La Overall 53.0% 64.0% 33.9% -148.5%
African Americans
Af US Born 61.0% 63.0% 38.4% -131.1%
Af Foreign Bor 58.0% 78.0% 45.2% -117.2%
Af Overall 61.0% 63.0% 38.4% -131.1%
Non-Hispanic Whites
Wh US Born 69.0% 73.0% 50.4% 100.0%
Wh Foreign Bor 68.0% 78.0% 53.0% 100.0%
Wh Overall 69.0% 73.0% 50.4% 100.0%
Ranked by Index Overall
Asian Americans Reg Voted Overall Index
Wh Foreign Bor 68.0% 78.0% 53.0% 100.0%
Wh US Born 69.0% 73.0% 50.4% 100.0%
Wh Overall 69.0% 73.0% 50.4% 100.0%
Af Foreign Bor 58.0% 78.0% 45.2% -117.2%
>>As US Born 56.0% 78.0% 43.7% -115.3%
As Overall 53.0% 76.0% 40.3% -125.0%
La Foreign Bor 53.0% 74.0% 39.2% -135.2%
Af US Born 61.0% 63.0% 38.4% -131.1%
Af Overall 61.0% 63.0% 38.4% -131.1%
>>As Foreign Bor 49.0% 74.0% 36.3% -146.3%
La Overall 53.0% 64.0% 33.9% -148.5%
La US Born 53.0% 62.0% 32.9% -153.3%
If these figures are correct (registration * turnout rate) then US
born Asians lag whites by only 15%, but the foreign born is down by
50% Source: When Numbers Do Not Add Up by Don Nakanishi as cited in
Asian Week March 29, 1996 p. 15
Rate of non-Citizenship in Index Citizen Non/Cit Ratio
Asian 55.0% 27.50 45.0% 0.82
Latino 44.0% 22.00 56.0% 1.27
AfricanAm 5.0% 2.50 95.0% 19.00
NH Whites 2.0% 1.00 98.0% 49.00
Asians are the only majority non-citizen group in the US
\priv\96\04\immvote.txt Chicago Tribune, March 25, 1996 IMMIGRANT
INFLUX MAY ALTER POLITICAL PALETTE RECORD NUMBER TAKE CITIZENSHIP,
REGISTER TO VOTE, OFFICIALS SAY By Vincent J. Schodolski, Tribune
Staff Writer
California Voter Rates
White/
Black Hisp Asian
pop 63 27 10
regvote 84 14 2
rate 1.33 0.38 0.15
index 1.00 -2.63 -6.66
\doc\95\14\asvote.txt Asian.vote.rate Time April 9, 1990 p. 32
"Strangers in Paradise" Asian Americans turn out at the voting booth
even less frequently than whites or blacks: a 1986 study of Southern
California voters showed that only 30% of eligible Asian voters
registered, compared with 80% of whites.
\priv\95\12\hispvote.txt - Hispanics vote at a low rate They
constitute about 10.3 percent of the U.S. population of nearly 260
million, but only 4.4 percent of registered voters in the November
1994 elections. About 53 percent of eligible Hispanic citizens were
registered to vote in 1994, compared to 67 percent of all U.S.
citizens over 18.
DOC\94\3\LATGAY.WK1 LA Times US exit poll of 92 presidential voters
Ethnicity Index
men women men women
gay all lesbia all gay all lesbia all
White* 79% 85% 74% 83% 0.93 0.89
Black 13% 9% 15% 12% 1.55 1.34
Latino 4% 3% 7% 3% 1.43 2.51
Asian 0% 1% 0% 1% 0.00 0.00
Other 4% 2% 4% 1% 2.15 4.30
Minority voters more likely to call themselves gay, except Asian
* White is gay / all, others are gay / all / white
doc938\racevote.xls - US Census voting 1992 presidential election
rate W64% B54% H29% A27%
index B-1.2 H-2.2 A-2.4
citizen B-1.2 H-1.3 A-1.3
\doc\95\10\votereg.txt
http://www.census.gov/ftp/pub/population/www/html/vote-tabtcon.html
Table 3. Percent of Population Voting by Citizenship Status and
Selected Demographic Characteristics: November 1994
(Numbers in thousands)
_________________________________________________________________
Percent voting
_________________
All Non- All
Characteristics persons Citizens citizens persons Citizens
_________________________________________________________________
Total:
18 yrs & over 190,267 175,448 14,819 44.6 48.4
White 160,317 150,287 10,030 46.9 50.1
Black 21,799 20,718 1,081 37.0 38.9
Asian or Pac Is 4,849 2,183 2,666 18.4 40.8
Hisp origin 1/ 17,476 9,813 7,663 19.1 34.0
1994 census citizen index W1.0 B-1.28 H-1.47 A-1.25
1994 census overall index W1.0 B-1.27 H-2.45 A-2.42
%%International
Source: CNN contributed by CaptJon1@aol.com
Voter turnout for legislative elections in selected democracies (as of
1995).
Belgium 93%
Turkey 92%
Italy 89%
Luxembourg 87%
Austria 86%
Iceland 86%
Sweden 86%
Denmark 83%
Norway 83%
Netherlands 80%
Germany 78%
Greece 77%
United Kingdom 76%
Finland 72%
Spain 70%
Ireland 69%
Portugal 68%
France 65%
U.S. (1994) 38%
@@religion
Jews are the most liberal, "Other nonChristian" or no religio,
somewhat less so. Catholics are dead average. White protestants
("religious right") are the most conservative
CNN/Time All Politics
url: http://allpolitics.com/elections/natl.exit.poll/index1.html
local: \clip\96\08\allpexit.htm
Electoral Vote: Clinton 379, Dole 159
Popular Vote: Clinton 49%, Dole 41%, Perot 8%, Nader 1%, Browne 1%
1996 Presidential Election Results Sorted By Clinton Preference
Horiz %
Group All ClintoDole
Race African-Americans 10 84 12
WrelgJewish 4 78 16
ReligJewish 3 78 16
ReligOther Religion 6 60 23
ReligNone 7 59 23
WrelgNo Religion 7 56 26
Not Wh Rel Right 80 54 35
ReligCatholic 29 53 37
WrelgOther Religion 5 51 29
WrelgCatholic 29 48 41
Popular Vote 49 41
ReligOther Christian 16 45 41
ReligProtestant 38 41 50
WrelgProtestant 56 36 53
Wh Rel Right 17 26 65
\clip\96\04\cathclin.txt Date: Wed, 4 Sep 1996 17:04:19 -0400 White
Catholics Back Clinton in Key Religious Swing Vote With AP Graphic By
DAVID BRIGGS AP Religion Writer
\doc\95\07\relgpart.wk1 - Religion and Political Party
"Portrait of Religion in U.S. Holds Dozens of Surprises"
New York Times April 10, 1991 p.A1
Source: The Graduate School and CUNY University of the City
University of New York Telephone Survey of 113,000
households from April 1989 to April 1990 by Barry Kosmin
Percentage of Religion Identifying with Party
Democrat Republican Ratio
Jewish 43% 22% 1.95
Baptist 43% 27% 1.59
Pentecostal 38% 27% 1.41
Catholic 38% 27% 1.41
Methodist 35% 36% -1.03
Presbyteria 28% 44% -1.57
Lutheran 26% 37% -1.42
Episcopalia 25% 41% -1.64
Mormon 23% 51% -2.22
@@state
----------------------------------------------------------
California statewide registered voters by race (percent)
Race Pct Pop Rate Index
White 76% 56.4 1.35 1.00
Black 7% 7.4 0.95 -1.42
Asian/PI 6% 9.6 0.63 -2.16
Hispanic 11% 25.8 0.43 -3.16
Source: Field Institute poll, 1994
cited in Asian Week Aug 9, 1996 p. 18 F060597
\doc\web\97\04\cavote.wk1
doc938\NJVOTE93.xls 1993 New Jersey Gov race B-2.0 H & A -3.1
Asian.vote.immigration
d:\doc\95\01\prop187.wk1 - Vote against illegal immigrants, 1994
For: W64% B56% H31% A57% W1.00 B-1.14 H-2.06 A-1.12
\doc\95\11\cavote.wk1
Summary: Asians and Hispanics are half the population of California,
but only 10 percent of the vote. Blacks are NOT underrepresented.
LA Times Poll
Percent W B H A
Republican 87.0 3.0 4.0 4.0
Democrat 74.0 11.0 9.0 3.0
Total 79.3 7.8 7.0 3.4
Index
Republican 1.59 -2.39 -7.10 -2.88
Democrat 1.35 1.53 -3.15 -3.84
Total 1.45 1.08 -4.07 -3.38
Index vs. State population, 1994
W B H A
State pop (92) 54.7% 7.2% 28.4% 11.5%
Eligible voters 1.30 1.11 -2.03 -1.92
Registered voters 1.61 -1.20 -2.58
Voters 1994 1.48 -1.79 -3.55 -2.88
Voters 1992 1.50 -1.44 -4.05 -3.84
Voters 1990 1.41 1.11 -3.15 -3.84
@@Vietnamse
Asianweek Nov 18, 1994
Vietnamese Americans Rock the Vote
Bobbie Lee p. 21
Viet voters by party
Republican 56%
Democrats 26%
Others 18%
Santa Clara County
Vietnamese am voters in Santa clara county
1981 120
1988 9,065
1992 14,160
1994 18,139
@@Women
Z48\CLIP\2001\02\GENDGAP.TXT The Gender Gap Explained Robbing Peter &
Paul to Pay Mary! By Samuel Silver
http://frontpagemag.com/archives/feminism/silver02-19-01.htm
FrontPageMagazine.com | February 19, 2001
Suffrage coincided with immediate increases in state
government expenditures and revenue, and these effects continued
growing as more women took advantage of the franchise. Similar
changes occurred at the federal level as female suffrage led to more
liberal voting records for the states' U.S. House and Senate
delegations.