\doc\web\99\06\govan.htm


chart \doc\web\98\06\asevfbi.gif


From:           	"Bob Govan" 
To:             	arthurhu@halcyon.com
Copies to:      	brand@crispian.demon.co.uk, gusben@hotmail.com, rushton@julian.uwo.ca
Subject:        	Mistakes in last e-mail with graphs.
Date sent:      	Fri, 02 Apr 1999 13:21:27 PST


Gentlemen,


Some things were missing in yesterday's data and graphs.


Here is the FULL list of data I used in yesterday's graphs.


Cri Tot Whi Bla Nat Asi Totp Whip Blap Natp Asip
1 14439 6176 7928 119 216 100.0 42.8 54.9 0.8 1.5
2 24317 13637 10124 266 290 100.0 56.1 41.6 1.1 1.2
3 121673 48412 70828 651 1782 100.0 39.8 58.2 0.5 1.5
4 387090 230785 147463 3929 4913 100.0 59.6 38.1 1.0 1.3
5 263774 179063 78473 2853 3385 100.0 67.9 29.8 1.1 1.3
6 1094186 709109 351993 13707 19377 100.0 64.8 32.2 1.3 1.8
7 131892 74618 53022 1579 2673 100.0 56.6 40.2 1.2 2.0
8 13739 10175 3297 132 135 100.0 74.1 24.0 1.0 1.0


Here is the key to the meaning of Cri 1-8 plus the entire set
of crime stats for 1996:


Crime Total White Black Native Asian Totalp Whitep Blackp Nativep Asianp
1  manslaughter 14,439 6,176 7,928 119 216 100.0 42.8 54.9 0.8 1.5
2  Forcible rape 24,317 13,637 10,124 266 290 100.0 56.1 41.6 1.1 1.2
3  Robbery 121,673 48,412 70,828 651 1,782 100.0 39.8 58.2 0.5 1.5
4  Aggravated assault 387,090 230,785 147,463 3,929 4,913 100.0 59.6 
38.1 1.0 1.3
5  Burglary 263,774 179,063 78,473 2,853 3,385 100.0 67.9 29.8 1.1 1.3
6  Larceny-theft 1,094,186 709,109 351,993 13,707 19,377 100.0 64.8 32.2 
1.3 1.8
7  Motor vehicle theft 131,892 74,618 53,022 1,579 2,673 100.0 56.6 40.2 
1.2 2.0
8  Arson 13,739 10,175 3,297 132 135 100.0 74.1 24.0 1.0 1.0
9  Other assaults 971,267 606,019 340,930 13,071 11,247 100.0 62.4 35.1 
1.3 1.2
10 Forgery and counterfeiting 88,063 56,461 29,547 511 1,544 100.0 64.1 
33.6 0.6 1.8
11 Fraud 324,121 204,054 115,980 1,470 2,617 100.0 63.0 35.8 0.5 0.8
12 Embezzlement 11,434 7,216 3,985 59 174 100.0 63.1 34.9 0.5 1.5
13 Stolen property; buying,
   receiving, possessing 110,834 63,893 44,647 870 1,424 100.0 57.6 40.3 
0.8 1.3
14 Vandalism 233,952 171,124 56,725 3,220 2,883 100.0 73.1 24.2 1.4 1.2
15 Weapons; carrying,
   possessing, etc. 161,016 93,430 64,534 1,152 1,900 100.0 58.0 40.1 
0.7 1.2
16 Prostitution and
   commercialized vice 81,022 47,809 31,065 528 1,620 100.0 59.0 38.3 
0.7 2.0
17 Sex offenses (except forcible
   rape and prostitution) 70,546 52,136 16,691 791 928 100.0 73.9 23.7 
1.1 1.3
18 Drug abuse violations 1,127,114 681,008 433,352 5,600 7,154 100.0 
60.4 38.4 0.5 0.6
19 Gambling 16,982 7,711 8,588 66 617 100.0 45.4 50.6 0.4 3.6
20 Offenses against family
   and children 102,944 67,531 32,561 1,129 1,723 100.0 65.6 31.6 1.1 
1.7
21 Driving under the influence 1,011,470 876,558 104,793 16,867 13,252 
100.0 86.7 10.4 1.7 1.3
22 Liquor laws 489,219 395,689 78,178 12,007 3,345 100.0 80.9 16.0 2.5 
0.7
23 Drunkenness 522,159 423,358 84,362 12,450 1,989 100.0 81.1 16.2 2.4 
0.4
24 Disorderly conduct 625,861 390,499 223,234 8,052 4,076 100.0 62.4 
35.7 1.3 0.7
25 Vagrancy 21,719 11,800 9,416 422 81 100.0 54.3 43.4 1.9 0.4
26 All other offenses
   (except traffic) 2,763,311 1,758,183 938,754 34,429 31,945 100.0 63.6 
34.0 1.2 1.2
27 Suspicion 4,843 3,272 1,492 56 23 100.0 67.6 30.8 1.2 0.5
28 Curfew and loitering
   law violations 142,135 103,664 34,756 1,655 2,060 100.0 72.9 24.5 1.2 
1.4
29 Runaways 141,710 110,780 23,620 1,649 5,661 100.0 78.2 16.7 1.2 4.0




You will find attached the Asian graph missing from yesterday.


There is little data here but it looks as if all groups have
the two curves I mentioned.  What I may be seeing is introversion
curve and extraversion curve.  Also, THESE GROUPS ARE MIXED-RACE
EACH.  Whites may have black or Native American genes, blacks
may have white or Native American or Asian genes.  Amerinds
include the Aleut population.  I am unaware of much Asian
mixing.


Each plot shows a power curve and a flattened bell-curve.
Centers of the bell curve vary between groups.  If I had
combined the two simple curves myself I couldn't have done
a better job.




Yours truly,


Bob Govan


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