requirement begins, the there are 1214 more kids in 9th grade than in 8th. This bulge is mostly due to kids that haven't accumulated enough credits to become 10th greater. Each year after the algebra requirement, the bulge grows. Now it's over three thousand. The 9th grade is about 3 times the size of the 12th grade. But if you take the kids who are there and the kids who have dropped out, there's about 2,500 kids "missing". Where are they?? One of my correspondents thinks they've dropped out, although not legal of age, but are kept on the rolls to keep the state money flowing. June 10, 2000 From: George Schmidt, Editor, Substance Re: Black and Latino kids are being forced out: Data and Demographics on declining numbers Hello Colleagues: Since there is a danger in cyberspace that one source can change, and since Catalyst has a way of revising its reporting to conform to the Chicago Board of Education's view of things (and the funding it depends on from a handful of foundations), here are some numbers from the Chicago school board itself. Every September for the past 40 years (or so), Chicago has done its annual "Racial Ethnic Survey", a head count of the kids for the federal government. Those surveys for September 1995 and September 1999 are the basis for the following data and interpretation. In September 1995, Chicago's public schools had 412,921 students. By September 1999, Chicago's public schools had 431,750 students. That may or may not be the good news. Please bear with me and read on: In September 1995, Chicago's public elementary schools had 310,202 students. By September 1999, Chicago's public elementary schools had 333,005 students. That is a gain of 7 percent or so, by my count, in the elementary schools. In September 1995, Chicago's public high schools had 102,719 students. By September 1999, Chicago's public high schools had 93,210 students. That is a loss of 9 percent in the high schools unless my calculator broke. What happened? We got "standards and accountability". In 1995, Chicago's City Hall took over the public schools and Paul Vallas was appointed "CEO" of the Chicago school system. By June 1996, the first 8th grade graduation requirements ("standards") were in place and the first kids had to go to summer school to "pass" elementary school. Those who "failed" the test at the end of the summer school were sent to "transition centers." By 1997, those 8th grade requirements were based on the Grade Equivalent score on the Iowa Tests of Basic Skills reading and math sections. Also in 1997, "accountability" was extended to include teachers, and the Vallas administration terminated 188 high school teachers who were teaching in "failing" schools according to their schools' TAP (high school version of the ITBS) scores. The hearings to decide which teachers would be fired were conducted by the local schools in collaboration with "external partners" (including some of our most prominent educational "progressives" who joined in the "off with their heads" charge against the teachers). Sp by 1997, everyone knew that high stakes applied to both children and teachers. The results are now in. Since 1996, at least 70,000 elementary school children in Chicago have been forced to attend summer school, where they get test prep materials for six weeks. Of those, more than 25,000 were 8th graders who didn't meet the cut score. Catalyst and other apologists for "standards and accountability" this month changed their way of calculating dropouts to conform to the Chicago Board of Education's new way of recalculating the data. That's why I suggest these raw data are much more useful. Chicago is about to embark on another expensive foray into statistical obfuscation in order to hide what is evident here. The real "bottom line" for the past five years is already in for Chicago. This city, as the standard bearer for urban "standards" (along with North Carolina, cited as an example in the State of the Union speeches of William Clinton), has somehow lost around 10,000 kids between elementary school and high school. That's the body count, but there is a bit more. The number of black kids in Chicago's high schools had decreased by nearly 10,000 since 1995. According to the same data: In September 1995, Chicago's elementary schools had 169,946 black children. In September 1999, Chicago's elementary schools had 173,751 black children. In September 1995, Chicago's high schools had 58,192 black children. In September 1999, Chicago's high schools had 48,976 black children. Latino kids are getting almost the same treatment, but the great increase in the overall numbers masks it. The number of " Hispanic " kids in Chicago's high schools has barely increase (by a total of 700) since 1995, while the total number in the public school system has increased by 18,000! Here are those numbers: In September 1995, Chicago's public schools had 129,052 "Hispanic" students. In September 1999, Chicago's public schools had 147,705 "Hispanic" students. In September 1995, Chicago's elementary schools had 99,838 Hispanic students. In September 1999, Chicago's elementary schools had 116,316 Hispanic students. In September 1995, Chicago's high schools had 29,214 Hispanic students. In September 1999, Chicago's high schools had 29,936 Hispanic students. The way things are going here, I suspect that by next year, the Chicago Board of Education, with the backing of the federal government, will simply stop reporting the data contained in the "Racial Ethnic Survey." Cynical? I'm just feeling a bit down today. As I've previously pointed out here, Chicago has purchased most of the "progressive" educators here and all of the major media, so these numbers have to be smuggled out. One of the other things we've become accustomed to here in Chicago is the use of public relations distracters (as I write about in my analysis of the ITBS scores on page one of the May-June issue of Substance). The most interesting of those during the past 30 days has been the New York Times article on Northside College Preparatory High School in Chicago. But big time media reporters are not the only ones capable of throwing distracters in our way here. Some people on this list are very adept at doing the same. Until I am offered some comparable data from some other large cities, please excuse me if I'm not impressed with the erudition and pseudo-erudition of some people's postings. In fact, I'm going to delete materials from certain people without reading them until they respond with some data from the big cities within which they work. I don't really care how many heroes of the old Civil Rights Movement we're buddies with if the system we're supporting in June 2000 is driving thousands of black kids out of school every year. As Lincoln said in another context, give me the straight party line without the mixing in "base alloy of hypocrisy." Thanks to Walt Haney, we have the body count for Texas. Walt's data show that the "Texas Miracle" attributed to George W. Bush and the Republican Party (with a jump start, let's not forget for all the confused 'independents' out there, from billionaire crony capitalist H. Ross Perot) has been destroying the lives of tens of thousands of African American and Latino children and, especially, young adults. Thanks to Substance, you now have the body count for Chicago. The data we offer you here show that the "Chicago Miracle" endorsed by William J. Clinton and the Democratic Party has been destroying the lives of thousands of African American and Latino children and young adults. Anybody else got some numbers to go with the erudite abstractions and historical sentimentalism that wafts through here from time to time? Theresa Glenn recently posted a note that the kids who "failed" the North Carolina test where she could see them were black. Why am I not surprised? George N. Schmidt Editor, Substance 5132 W. Berteau Chicago, IL 60641